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Utah vs UCF Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

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Utah vs UCF Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 11 seed Utah Utes (16-15, 8-12 Big 12) are squaring off against the No. 14 seed UCF Knights (16-15, 7-13 Big 12) in the Big 12 tournament on Tuesday at T-Mobile Center, at 9:30 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Utah vs. UCF Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Tuesday, March 11, 2025
  • Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Arena: T-Mobile Center

Utah vs. UCF Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Utah win (58.2%)

Check out these betting insights and trends before you bet on Tuesday's Utah-UCF spread (Utah -1.5) or over/under (158.5 points).

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Utah vs. UCF: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Utah has put together a 16-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • UCF has covered 13 times in 31 games with a spread this year.
  • Utah (10-5) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (66.7%) than UCF (7-8) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (46.7%).
  • The Utes have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 12 times in 19 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered three times in 10 opportunities in away games.
  • This year, the Knights are 7-11-0 at home against the spread (.389 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).
  • Utah has 10 wins against the spread in 20 conference games this year.
  • UCF has eight wins against the spread in 20 Big 12 games this year.

Utah vs. UCF: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Utah has been the moneyline favorite in 12 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (83.3%) in those contests.
  • The Utes have a mark of 10-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -125 or better on the moneyline.
  • UCF is 3-12 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +104 or longer, the Knights have a 3-10 record (winning just 23.1% of their games).
  • Utah has an implied victory probability of 55.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Utah vs. UCF Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Utah is outscoring opponents by 3.7 points per game with a +114 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.4 points per game (136th in college basketball) and allows 71.7 per contest (175th in college basketball).
  • Utah's leading scorer, Gabe Madsen, ranks 239th in the nation averaging 15.3 points per game.
  • UCF puts up 78.6 points per game (64th in college basketball) while allowing 79.8 per contest (346th in college basketball). It has a -38 scoring differential and has been outscored by 1.2 points per game.
  • Keyshawn Hall's team-leading 18.5 points per game rank him 56th in college basketball.
  • The 35.7 rebounds per game the Utes average rank 24th in college basketball, and are 4.9 more than the 30.8 their opponents pull down per outing.
  • Keanu Dawes is 319th in college basketball play with six rebounds per game to lead the Utes.
  • The Knights lose the rebound battle by 1.5 boards on average. They record 32.8 rebounds per game, 134th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 34.3.
  • Hall is 158th in the nation with 7.1 rebounds per game, leading the Knights.
  • Utah ranks 191st in college basketball by averaging 95.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 115th in college basketball, allowing 90.8 points per 100 possessions.
  • The Knights rank 245th in college basketball with 93.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 226th defensively with 95 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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