Padres vs Rangers Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 4:12 a.m.

On Friday in MLB, the San Diego Padres are up against the Texas Rangers.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Padres vs Rangers Game Info

• San Diego Padres (46-40) vs. Texas Rangers (43-44)
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and CW33

Padres vs Rangers Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-120) | TEX: (+102)
• Spread: SD: +1.5 (-192) | TEX: -1.5 (+158)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)

Padres vs Rangers Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Randy Vasquez (Padres) - 3-4, 3.84 ERA vs Kumar Rocker (Rangers) - 3-4, 6.13 ERA

The Padres will give the nod to Randy Vasquez (3-4) versus the Rangers and Kumar Rocker (3-4). When Vasquez starts, his team is 9-7-0 against the spread this season. Vasquez's team has won each of the five games he's started as the moneyline favorite. The Rangers have a 4-5-0 record against the spread in Rocker's starts. The Rangers have been the moneyline underdog in six of Rocker's starts this season, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.

Padres vs Rangers Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (50.3%)

Padres vs Rangers Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Rangers-Padres, Texas is the underdog at +102, and San Diego is -120 playing at home.

Padres vs Rangers Spread

• The Rangers are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Padres. The Rangers are +158 to cover, while the Padres are -192 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Padres vs Rangers Over/Under

• An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Padres-Rangers on July 4, with the over being -122 and the under -100.

Bet on San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers on FanDuel today!

Padres vs Rangers Betting Trends

• The Padres have been chosen as favorites in 42 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (61.9%) in those games.
• This year San Diego has won 23 of 36 games when listed as at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The Padres and their opponents have gone over in 35 of their 85 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 85 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 45-40-0 against the spread.
• The Rangers have been the underdog on the moneyline 44 total times this season. They've finished 14-30 in those games.
• Texas is 11-24 (winning only 31.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
• The Rangers have had an over/under set by bookmakers 86 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 31 of those games (31-54-1).
• The Rangers have a 45-41-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52.3% of the time).

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado leads San Diego in OBP (.351), slugging percentage (.471) and total hits (95) this season. He has a .289 batting average.
• Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, he is 24th in batting average, 48th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. leads San Diego in OBP (.351) this season, fueled by 84 hits. He's batting .261 while slugging .441.
• His batting average is 70th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 48th, and his slugging percentage 67th.
• Tatis has picked up a hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .300 with three walks and an RBI.
• Luis Arraez has collected 91 base hits, an OBP of .312 and a slugging percentage of .393 this season.
• Gavin Sheets has been key for San Diego with 74 hits, an OBP of .319 plus a slugging percentage of .454.

Rangers Player Leaders

• Marcus Semien is hitting .238 with 10 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 36 walks. He's slugging .363 with an on-base percentage of .316.
• Including all qualified hitters in MLB, he is 123rd in batting average, 104th in on-base percentage and 140th in slugging percentage.
• Semien brings an eight-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .302 with two doubles, two home runs, five walks and eight RBIs.
• Josh Smith paces his team with a .356 OBP, and has a club-best .419 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .287.
• Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 27th in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage and 84th in slugging percentage.
• Adolis Garcia is hitting .232 with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 18 walks.
• Corey Seager is hitting .249 with eight doubles, 11 home runs and 29 walks.

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