Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 7:12 p.m.
The Detroit Tigers will take on the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action on Friday.
We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Tigers vs Guardians Game Info
- Detroit Tigers (54-34) vs. Cleveland Guardians (40-45)
- Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Progressive Field -- Cleveland, Ohio
- Coverage: CLEG and FDSDET
Tigers vs Guardians Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: DET: (-126) | CLE: (+108)
- Spread: DET: -1.5 (+136) | CLE: +1.5 (-164)
- Total: 8 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (-100)
Tigers vs Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Reese Olson (Tigers) - 4-3, 2.96 ERA vs Slade Cecconi (Guardians) - 3-3, 3.64 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Tigers will send Reese Olson (4-3) to the mound, while Slade Cecconi (3-3) will take the ball for the Guardians. Olson and his team are 4-5-0 ATS this season when he starts. Olson's team has a record of 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. When Cecconi starts, the Guardians have gone 5-3-0 against the spread. The Guardians have been the moneyline underdog in four of Cecconi's starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those games.
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Tigers win (63.6%)
Tigers vs Guardians Moneyline
- Cleveland is a +108 underdog on the moneyline, while Detroit is a -126 favorite on the road.
Tigers vs Guardians Spread
- The Tigers are at the Guardians and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Tigers are +136 to cover the runline, with the Guardians being -164.
Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under
- A combined run total of 8 has been set for Tigers-Guardians on July 4, with the over at -122 and the under at -100.
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Tigers vs Guardians Betting Trends
- The Tigers have been chosen as favorites in 53 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (66%) in those games.
- This season Detroit has been victorious 29 times in 42 chances when named as a favorite of at least -126 on the moneyline.
- The Tigers' games have gone over the total in 41 of their 83 opportunities.
- The Tigers have posted a record of 45-38-0 against the spread this season.
- The Guardians have won 21 of the 53 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (39.6%).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +108 or longer, Cleveland has a 9-23 record (winning just 28.1% of its games).
- In the 83 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 35 times (35-45-3).
- The Guardians have covered 48.2% of their games this season, going 40-43-0 against the spread.
Tigers Player Leaders
- Riley Greene has 97 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .545, both of which rank first among Detroit hitters this season. He has a .292 batting average and an on-base percentage of .344.
- Among all qualifying hitters in baseball, he is 18th in batting average, 58th in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
- Gleyber Torres has 77 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .387. He's batting .282 and slugging .429.
- He ranks 39th in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 74th in slugging in the majors.
- Torres has picked up a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a home run, four walks and three RBIs.
- Spencer Torkelson has 69 hits this season and has a slash line of .234/.335/.492.
- Torkelson enters this matchup with seven games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .282 with three doubles, three home runs, three walks and seven RBIs.
- Zach McKinstry is batting .290 with a .362 OBP and 25 RBI for Detroit this season.
Guardians Player Leaders
- Jose Ramirez has racked up 92 hits with a .358 on-base percentage, leading the Guardians in both categories. He's batting .297 and slugging .481.
- Including all qualifying players in MLB, he is 12th in batting average, 36th in on-base percentage and 36th in slugging percentage.
- Steven Kwan leads his team with a .358 on-base percentage, and has a club-high .414 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .295.
- His batting average is 14th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 36th, and he is 89th in slugging.
- Carlos Santana is hitting .240 with seven doubles, 10 home runs and 37 walks.
- Kyle Manzardo is batting .224 with 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 25 walks.
Tigers vs Guardians Head to Head
- 5/25/2025: 5-0 DET (Favorite: Tigers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -290, Underdog Moneyline: +235)
- 5/24/2025: 7-5 CLE (Favorite: Tigers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 5/23/2025: 3-1 CLE (Favorite: Tigers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 5/22/2025: 7-0 CLE (Favorite: Tigers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 10/12/2024: 7-3 CLE (Favorite: Tigers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 10/10/2024: 5-4 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 10/9/2024: 3-0 DET (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 10/7/2024: 3-0 DET (Favorite: Tigers, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 10/5/2024: 7-0 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 7/30/2024: 5-0 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
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