Twins vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 3:11 p.m.

MLB action on Friday includes the Minnesota Twins taking on the Tampa Bay Rays.

Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Twins vs Rays Game Info

• Minnesota Twins (41-46) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (48-39)
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Field -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: MNNT and FDSSUN

Twins vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIN: (-120) | TB: (+102)
• Spread: MIN: +1.5 (-188) | TB: -1.5 (+155)
• Total: 10 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Twins vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack (Twins) - 3-7, 4.70 ERA vs Zack Littell (Rays) - 7-7, 3.61 ERA

The Twins will call on Chris Paddack (3-7) against the Rays and Zack Littell (7-7). When Paddack starts, his team is 7-9-0 against the spread this season. Paddack has started seven games with his team as the moneyline favorite, and has been upset each time. The Rays are 7-10-0 ATS in Littell's 17 starts that had a set spread. The Rays are 5-3 in Littell's eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Twins vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Twins win (50.6%)

Twins vs Rays Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Twins-Rays, Minnesota is the favorite at -120, and Tampa Bay is +102 playing on the road.

Twins vs Rays Spread

• The Rays are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Twins. The Rays are +155 to cover, while the Twins are -188 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Twins vs Rays Over/Under

• The over/under for the Twins versus Rays game on July 4 has been set at 10, with -120 odds on the over and -102 odds on the under.

Bet on Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays on FanDuel today!

Twins vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Twins have won in 27, or 50.9%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Minnesota has a record of 25-14 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -120 or more on the moneyline.
• The Twins' games have gone over the total in 35 of their 83 opportunities.
• The Twins are 42-41-0 against the spread in their 83 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Rays are 17-17 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
• Tampa Bay is 14-13 (winning 51.9% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
• The Rays have had an over/under set by bookmakers 84 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 34 of those games (34-47-3).
• The Rays have collected a 41-43-0 record against the spread this season.

Twins Player Leaders

• Byron Buxton leads Minnesota in OBP (.337) and total hits (73) this season. He's batting .272 batting average while slugging .545.
• Among qualified batters in baseball, he is 53rd in batting average, 66th in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
• Trevor Larnach has 13 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 27 walks. He's batting .253 and slugging .421 with an on-base percentage of .318.
• Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 89th in batting average, 98th in on-base percentage and 80th in slugging percentage.
• Ty France leads Minnesota in slugging percentage (.364) powered by 21 extra-base hits.
• Carlos Correa has been key for Minnesota with 71 hits, an OBP of .299 plus a slugging percentage of .387.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero paces the Rays with 82 hits. He's batting .259 and slugging .517 with an on-base percentage of .304.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average puts him 78th, his on-base percentage is 121st, and he is 16th in slugging.
• Caminero enters this game on a four-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz leads his team with a .474 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .291 with an on-base percentage of .347.
• His batting average is 20th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 54th, and he is 41st in slugging.
• Brandon Lowe is hitting .274 with 11 doubles, 19 home runs and 23 walks.
• Jonathan Aranda's .401 on-base percentage leads his team.

Twins vs Rays Head to Head

• 5/28/2025: 5-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 5/27/2025: 4-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 5/26/2025: 7-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 9/5/2024: 4-3 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 9/4/2024: 9-4 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 9/3/2024: 2-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 9/2/2024: 5-4 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/20/2024: 7-6 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 6/19/2024: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
• 6/18/2024: 7-6 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -188, Underdog Moneyline: +158)

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