Twins vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 4:12 a.m.
The Minnesota Twins will face the Tampa Bay Rays in MLB action on Friday.
All the information you need to make smart wagers on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.
Twins vs Rays Game Info
- Minnesota Twins (41-46) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (48-39)
- Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Target Field -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Coverage: MNNT and FDSSUN
Twins vs Rays Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: MIN: (-116) | TB: (-102)
- Spread: MIN: +1.5 (-184) | TB: -1.5 (+152)
- Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)
Twins vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Chris Paddack (Twins) - 3-7, 4.70 ERA vs Zack Littell (Rays) - 7-7, 3.61 ERA
The Twins will give the nod to Chris Paddack (3-7, 4.70 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Rays will turn to Zack Littell (7-7, 3.61 ERA). Paddack's team is 7-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Paddack has started seven games with his team as the moneyline favorite, and has been upset each time. The Rays have gone 7-10-0 ATS in Littell's 17 starts that had a set spread. The Rays have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Littell's starts this season, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
Twins vs Rays Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Twins win (50%)
Twins vs Rays Moneyline
- The moneyline numbers for Twins vs. Rays reveal Minnesota as the favorite (-116) and Tampa Bay as the underdog (-102) on the road.
Twins vs Rays Spread
- The Rays are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Twins. The Rays are +152 to cover, while the Twins are -184 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.
Twins vs Rays Over/Under
- The Twins-Rays game on July 4 has been given an over/under of 9.5 runs. The over is set at -120 and the under at -102.
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Twins vs Rays Betting Trends
- The Twins have won in 27, or 50.9%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This year Minnesota has won 26 of 46 games when listed as at least -116 on the moneyline.
- The Twins and their opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 83 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Twins have posted a record of 42-41-0 against the spread this season.
- The Rays have won 50% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (17-17).
- Tampa Bay has gone 15-14 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer (51.7%).
- In the 84 games bookmakers have set an over/under for the Rays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 34 times (34-47-3).
- The Rays have a 41-43-0 record against the spread this season.
Twins Player Leaders
- Byron Buxton has 73 hits and an OBP of .337, both of which are tops among Minnesota hitters this season. He has a .272 batting average and a slugging percentage of .545.
- Among all qualified hitters in MLB, his batting average ranks 53rd, his on-base percentage ranks 66th, and he is ninth in slugging.
- Trevor Larnach is hitting .253 with 13 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 27 walks, while slugging .421 with an on-base percentage of .318.
- He is 89th in batting average, 98th in on-base percentage and 80th in slugging in the majors.
- Ty France leads Minnesota in slugging percentage (.364) powered by 21 extra-base hits.
- Carlos Correa has seven home runs, 29 RBI and a batting average of .259 this season.
Rays Player Leaders
- Junior Caminero paces the Rays with 82 hits. He's batting .259 and slugging .517 with an on-base percentage of .304.
- Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, he is 79th in batting average, 121st in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging percentage.
- Caminero heads into this game on a four-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
- Yandy Diaz's .474 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .291 with an on-base percentage of .347.
- He ranks 20th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 41st in slugging percentage in MLB.
- Brandon Lowe is hitting .274 with 11 doubles, 19 home runs and 23 walks.
- Jonathan Aranda's .401 on-base percentage paces his team.
Twins vs Rays Head to Head
- 5/28/2025: 5-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 5/27/2025: 4-2 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 5/26/2025: 7-2 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 9/5/2024: 4-3 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
- 9/4/2024: 9-4 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 9/3/2024: 2-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
- 9/2/2024: 5-4 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 6/20/2024: 7-6 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 6/19/2024: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
- 6/18/2024: 7-6 MIN (Favorite: Twins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -188, Underdog Moneyline: +158)
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