Troy vs Old Dominion Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 3 seed Troy Trojans (20-10, 13-5 Sun Belt) are squaring off against the No. 10 seed Old Dominion Monarchs (15-19, 8-10 Sun Belt) in the Sun Belt tournament on Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center, at 9 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Troy vs. Old Dominion Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 8, 2025
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Troy vs. Old Dominion Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Troy win (86.8%)

Check out these betting insights and trends before you wager on Saturday's Troy-Old Dominion spread (Troy -11.5) or total (130.5 points).

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Troy vs. Old Dominion: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Troy has compiled a 17-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Old Dominion has covered 17 times in 32 games with a spread this year.
• As an 11.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Troy is 6-4 against the spread compared to the 2-2 ATS record Old Dominion puts up as an 11.5-point underdog.
• The Trojans have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered seven times in 13 games when playing at home, and they've covered 10 times in 15 games when playing on the road.
• The Monarchs have the same winning percentage against the spread (.500) at home (7-7-0 record) and away (6-6-0) this season.
• Troy is 11-7-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• Old Dominion's Sun Belt record against the spread is 13-8-0.

Troy vs. Old Dominion: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Troy has been victorious in 17, or 77.3%, of the 22 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Trojans have a win-loss record of 8-1 when favored by -719 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Old Dominion is 8-16 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +500 or longer, the Monarchs have a 2-3 record (winning 40% of their games).
• Troy has an implied victory probability of 87.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Troy vs. Old Dominion Head-to-Head Comparison

• Troy is outscoring opponents by 7.7 points per game with a +231 scoring differential overall. It puts up 73 points per game (204th in college basketball) and allows 65.3 per contest (25th in college basketball).
• Tayton Conerway's team-leading 13.6 points per game ranks 430th in college basketball.
• Old Dominion puts up 68.1 points per game (319th in college basketball) while giving up 71.4 per contest (164th in college basketball). It has a -110 scoring differential and has been outscored by 3.3 points per game.
• Old Dominion's leading scorer, Robert Davis Jr., is 199th in college basketball, scoring 15.8 points per game.
• The Trojans prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 6.5 boards. They are collecting 35.2 rebounds per game (34th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 28.7 per outing.
• Thomas Dowd's 6.7 rebounds per game lead the Trojans and rank 208th in college basketball play.
• The 34.2 rebounds per game the Monarchs accumulate rank 62nd in college basketball, 1.7 more than the 32.5 their opponents pull down.
• Sean Durugordon leads the Monarchs with 8.9 rebounds per game (36th in college basketball).
• Troy's 93.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 239th in college basketball, and the 83.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank ninth in college basketball.
• The Monarchs average 88.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (330th in college basketball), and concede 92.5 points per 100 possessions (156th in college basketball).

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