Timberwolves vs. Spurs Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 10

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game Info

• Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

The San Antonio Spurs take a 2-1 series lead into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Spurs are favored by 4.5 points in the matchup, which airs on NBC/Peacock at 7:30 p.m. ET. The point total is 217.5 in the matchup.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Spurs win (50.6%)

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Betting Trends

• The Spurs have compiled a 43-34-4 record against the spread this season.
• In the Timberwolves' 82 games this year, they have 38 wins against the spread.
• Games involving the Spurs have hit the over 36 times this season.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 37 of 82 opportunities (45.1%).
• San Antonio has a worse record against the spread at home (19-17-3) than it does in away games (24-17-1).
• At home, the Spurs go over the over/under 45% of the time (18 of 40 games). They've hit the over in 42.9% of road games (18 of 42 contests).
• Against the spread, Minnesota has had better results away (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Timberwolves' games have finished above the over/under at home (34.1%, 14 of 41) compared to on the road (56.1%, 23 of 41).

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama's numbers on the season are 25 points, 11.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game, shooting 51.2% from the floor and 34.9% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.9 made treys.
• De'Aaron Fox averages 18.6 points, 3.8 boards and 6.2 assists, shooting 48.6% from the field and 33.2% from downtown, with 1.8 made treys per game.
• Stephon Castle is averaging 16.6 points, 5.3 boards and 7.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Keldon Johnson is averaging 13.2 points, 5.4 boards and 1.4 assists.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle is averaging 21.1 points, 6.7 boards and 5 assists for the Timberwolves.
• The Timberwolves receive 28.8 points per game from Anthony Edwards, plus 5 boards and 3.7 assists.
• The Timberwolves get 10.9 points per game from Rudy Gobert, plus 11.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
• The Timberwolves get 13.6 points per game from Naz Reid, plus 6.2 boards and 2.2 assists.
• The Timberwolves are getting 14.8 points, 4.2 boards and 2.7 assists per game from Jaden McDaniels.

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