Thunder vs. Nuggets Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 7

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: TNT, truTV, and MAX

The Oklahoma City Thunder are heavy 10-point favorites in Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Paycom Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Nuggets lead the series 1-0. The over/under in the matchup is 230.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (74.4%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 54-26-2 against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-43-1 this year.
• Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 44 times this season.
• The Nuggets have gone over the point total 59.8% of the time this season (49 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered 29 times in 42 opportunities at home, and it has covered 25 times in 40 opportunities on the road.
• The Thunder have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (59.5%) than road tilts (47.5%).
• Denver has been better against the spread away (20-20-1) than at home (18-23-0) this year.
• Nuggets games have gone above the over/under more frequently at home (26 times out of 41) than on the road (23 of 41) this year.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.7 points, 5 boards and 6.4 assists.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.6 steals (seventh in league) and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins is averaging 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 41.2% from downtown, with an average of 2.4 made treys.

Nuggets Leaders

• Per game, Nikola Jokic provides the Nuggets 29.6 points, 12.7 boards and 10.2 assists. He also averages 1.8 steals (second in NBA) and 0.6 blocks.
• Jamal Murray averages 21.4 points, 3.9 boards and 6 assists. He is also making 47.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from 3-point range, with 2.3 treys per contest.
• Per game, Michael Porter Jr. gets the Nuggets 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Christian Braun averages 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists. He is draining 58% of his shots from the field (eighth in NBA) and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per game.
• Per game, Russell Westbrook gives the Nuggets 13.3 points, 4.9 boards and 6.1 assists, plus 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocks.

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