Thunder vs. Nuggets Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 7

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: TNT, truTV, and MAX

The Denver Nuggets are big 11-point underdogs for Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX. The Nuggets have a 1-0 lead in the series. The over/under for the matchup is set at 230.5.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (74.6%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread in a game 54 times this season (54-26-2).
• In the Nuggets' 82 games this season, they have 38 wins against the spread.
• This season, 44 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total.
• Nuggets games this season have hit the over on 49 of 82 set point totals (59.8%).
• When playing at home, Oklahoma City sports a better record against the spread (29-12-1) compared to its ATS record in away games (25-14-1).
• The Thunder have gone over the over/under more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 25 of 42 home matchups (59.5%). In away games, they have hit the over in 19 of 40 games (47.5%).
• Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-23-0). Away, it is .488 (20-20-1).
• In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Nuggets' games have finished above the over/under at home (63.4%, 26 of 41) than on the road (56.1%, 23 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers on the season are 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 51.9% from the field and 37.5% from downtown, with an average of 2.1 made 3-pointers.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.3 boards.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 11.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 58.1% from the field.
• Aaron Wiggins' numbers on the season are 12 points, 3.9 boards and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.7 made treys.
• Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists, shooting 43.5% from the floor and 41.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 made treys per contest.

Nuggets Leaders

• Per game, Nikola Jokic gets the Nuggets 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds and 10.2 assists. He also averages 1.8 steals (second in league) and 0.6 blocks.
• Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 21.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6 assists per contest. He is sinking 47.4% of his shots from the floor and 39.3% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.3 treys.
• Per game, Michael Porter Jr. provides the Nuggets 18.2 points, 7 rebounds and 2.1 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Christian Braun averages 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists. He is sinking 58% of his shots from the field (eighth in league) and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per contest.
• The Nuggets are receiving 13.3 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game from Russell Westbrook.

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