Texas vs NC State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Four

The NC State Wolfpack (20-13) and the Texas Longhorns (18-14) play in a First Four matchup on Tuesday at UD Arena, beginning at 9:15 p.m. ET, airing on truTV.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

NC State vs. Texas Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
• Game time: 9:15 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Dayton, Ohio
• Arena: UD Arena

NC State vs. Texas Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: NC State win (52.3%)

NC State is a 1.5-point favorite against Texas on Tuesday and the over/under is set at 157.5 points. Here's a few betting trends and insights if you plan to place a wager on the game.

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NC State vs. Texas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• NC State has compiled a 15-18-0 record against the spread this season.
• Texas is 16-15-0 ATS this year.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Texas is 8-5 against the spread compared to the 14-13 ATS record NC State puts up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Wolfpack have fared better at home, covering eight times in 17 home games, and four times in 10 road games.
• The Longhorns' winning percentage against the spread at home is .471 (8-9-0). On the road, it is .700 (7-3-0).

NC State vs. Texas: Moneyline Betting Stats

• NC State has won in 18, or 69.2%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Wolfpack have come away with a win 17 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -118 or better on the moneyline.
• Texas has won 38.5% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (5-8).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, the Longhorns have a 5-8 record (winning just 38.5% of their games).
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that NC State has a 54.1% chance of pulling out a win.

NC State vs. Texas Head-to-Head Comparison

• NC State is outscoring opponents by 7.2 points per game with a +237 scoring differential overall. It puts up 83.7 points per game (27th in college basketball) and allows 76.5 per contest (250th in college basketball).
• Quadir Copeland leads NC State, averaging 13.9 points per game (414th in college basketball).
• Texas outscores opponents by 7.0 points per game (posting 83.8 points per game, 26th in college basketball, and conceding 76.8 per outing, 259th in college basketball) and has a +223 scoring differential.
• Dailyn Swain is ranked 104th in the country with a team-high 17.8 points per game.
• The Wolfpack are 211th in the country at 31.5 rebounds per game. That's 1.4 fewer than the 32.9 their opponents average.
• Ven-Allen Lubin's 7.2 rebounds per game lead the Wolfpack and rank 133rd in college basketball play.
• The Longhorns pull down 34.8 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) while allowing 26.9 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 7.9 boards per game.
• Swain averages 7.6 rebounds per game (103rd in college basketball) to lead the Longhorns.
• NC State averages 106.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (21st in college basketball), and allows 97.5 points per 100 possessions (245th in college basketball).
• The Longhorns average 107.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (18th in college basketball), and concede 98.4 points per 100 possessions (268th in college basketball).

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