Super Bowl Matchup Betting: Which Receptions Markets Should You Target?

The wait to watch this year's Super Bowl between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers is almost over with the game being played on Sunday. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering an endless amount of unique betting markets for the Super Bowl, including a player matchups market where you can bet on certain players to record more of a certain stat than another player.

Within FanDuel Sportsbook, the "player matchups" tab can be found when you go to the Super Bowl odds. Once you find the player matchups section, you can scroll down and find a few different receptions matchups between players from the Chiefs and 49ers.

Now that you know where to wager on the player matchups, here are a couple of the best bets in the receptions matchups market in this year's Super Bowl.

Super Bowl Matchup Betting: Receptions Market Best Bets

Travis Kelce vs. Rashee Rice: Over 13.5 Total Receptions (-120)

Unlike the 49ers, the Chiefs don't have a bevy of skill players for Patrick Mahomes to target in the passing game. Kansas City primarily funnel targets to Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice while they have other players that get mixed in at various times.

In the Chiefs' three postseason games to advance to the Super Bowl, Kelce and Rice have accounted for a total target share of 57.2%, via NextGenStats. Kelce averages 6.44 receptions per game and has amassed 23 total catches in the playoffs, and Rice has recorded six-plus receptions in seven of his last nine contests and has totaled 20 receptions in the playoffs.

The 49ers surrender the fourth-most receptions (105) and the sixth-highest target rate (20.2%) to tight ends. Meanwhile, San Fran's defense also gives up the fifth-most receptions (252) and the sixth-highest catch rate over expected (3.2%) to wide receivers. Taking all of that into account, betting the over on Kelce and Rice's total receptions appears to be a wise idea.

Travis Kelce vs. Rashee Rice: Kelce -0.5 Receptions (-120)

To continue the theme of betting on Kelce and Rice, backing Kelce to finish with more receptions than Rice is an ideal bet. The All-Pro tight end is the No. 1 option in Kansas City's aerial attack, and he has stepped up his game throughout the playoffs.

Kelce leads the Chiefs in target share (29.7%) and receptions per game (7.7) in these playoffs following an 11-catch outing in the Conference Championship Round. Despite Rice leading Kansas City's offense in receptions in two of the three postseason matchups, Kelce should be leaned on in the final game of the season.

With the 49ers relying on their front four to generate pressure and their defense registering the third-lowest blitz rate (20.4%), Mahomes and Kelce could have more opportunities to make their patented off-script plays. Kelce is currently entering the Super Bowl with -150 odds to achieve over 6.5 receptions while Rice has -105 odds to hit the same number of catches.

Deebo Samuel vs. George Kittle: Samuel -0.5 Receptions (-120)

Across the regular season and the playoffs, the 49ers have four players who command a target share of at least 19.5%. Two of those players are Deebo Samuel and George Kittle, who have a receptions matchup market on FanDuel Sportsbook.

While Kittle is always a threat to pop off in San Francisco's high-powered passing game, we'll be siding with Samuel to finish with more receptions in the Super Bowl. Samuel is coming off a team-high eight catches for 89 yards on nine targets in the Conference Championship Round despite dealing with a shoulder injury.

As for Kittle, the talented tight end has logged four or fewer receptions in seven of his last eight games. Being that the Chiefs blitz at the sixth-highest rate (36.3%), the 49ers could elect to have Kittle run fewer routes to block more while Samuel sees more quick targets in hopes he can create explosive plays with his league-best 8.9 yards after the catch per reception.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.