St. John's vs Providence College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 1 seed St. John's Red Storm (25-6, 18-2 Big East) and the No. 9 seed Providence Friars (15-17, 7-13 Big East) play in the Big East tournament Thursday at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 12 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

St. John's vs. Providence Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

St. John's vs. Providence Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: St. John's win (80%)

Before you decide to wager on St. John's-Providence matchup (in which St. John's is a 10.5-point favorite and the total is set at 158.5 points), keep reading for some betting insights and trends for Thursday's game.

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St. John's vs. Providence: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• St. John's has covered 17 times in 31 matchups with a spread this season.
• Providence has compiled an 18-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
• As a 10.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Providence is 2-1 against the spread compared to the 6-8 ATS record St. John's racks up as a 10.5-point favorite.
• The Red Storm have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 17 games at home, and they've covered seven times in 10 games on the road.
• Against the spread, the Friars have had better results on the road (7-4-0) than at home (9-7-0).
• Against the spread, in conference play, St. John's is 12-8-0 this year.
• Providence has covered the spread 13 times in 21 Big East games.

St. John's vs. Providence: Moneyline Betting Stats

• St. John's has won in 23, or 88.5%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Red Storm have come away with a win 12 times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -690 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Providence has won 23.5% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (4-13).
• The Friars have a 1-2 record (winning just 33.3% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +480 or longer.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that St. John's has a 87.3% chance of pulling out a win.

St. John's vs. Providence Head-to-Head Comparison

• St. John's outscores opponents by 11.4 points per game (scoring 81.9 per game to rank 56th in college basketball while giving up 70.5 per outing to rank 84th in college basketball) and has a +351 scoring differential overall.
• St. John's leading scorer, Zuby Ejiofor, is 218th in the nation averaging 16.0 points per game.
• Providence has a +56 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.7 points per game. It is putting up 85.7 points per game, 16th in college basketball, and is allowing 84.0 per contest to rank 360th in college basketball.
• Providence's leading scorer, Jaylin Sellers, is 77th in the nation, averaging 18.3 points per game.
• The Red Storm are 52nd in the country at 34.7 rebounds per game. That's 4.2 more than the 30.5 their opponents average.
• Ejiofor tops the Red Storm with 7.1 rebounds per game (144th in college basketball play).
• The Friars are 32nd in college basketball at 35.4 rebounds per game. That's 3.9 more than the 31.5 their opponents average.
• Oswin Erhunmwunse tops the team with 8.5 rebounds per game (51st in college basketball).
• St. John's ranks 103rd in college basketball with 100.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 26th in college basketball defensively with 86.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Friars score 102.5 points per 100 possessions (70th in college basketball), while giving up 100.4 points per 100 possessions (316th in college basketball).

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