South Alabama vs Georgia Southern College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 6 seed South Alabama Jaguars (21-10, 11-7 Sun Belt) square off against the No. 10 seed Georgia Southern Eagles (18-15, 8-10 Sun Belt) in the Sun Belt tournament Friday at Pensacola Bay Center, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: South Alabama win (67%)

Before placing a wager on Friday's South Alabama-Georgia Southern spread (South Alabama -4.5) or over/under (146.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• South Alabama is 15-14-0 ATS this season.
• Georgia Southern is 13-17-0 ATS this year.
• When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, South Alabama (1-7) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (12.5%) than Georgia Southern (3-4) does as the underdog (42.9%).
• The Jaguars sport a worse record against the spread at home (6-6-0) than they do on the road (8-6-0).
• This year, the Eagles are 5-7-0 at home against the spread (.417 winning percentage). Away, they are 7-7-0 ATS (.500).
• South Alabama's record against the spread in conference play is 10-8-0.
• Georgia Southern's Sun Belt record against the spread is 7-12-0.

South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern: Moneyline Betting Stats

• South Alabama has come away with 11 wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Jaguars have been victorious six times in seven chances when named as a favorite of at least -210 or better on the moneyline.
• Georgia Southern has won four of the 14 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (28.6%).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +172 or longer, the Eagles have a 1-5 record (winning only 16.7% of their games).
• South Alabama has an implied victory probability of 67.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

South Alabama vs. Georgia Southern Head-to-Head Comparison

• Offensively, South Alabama was the 205th-ranked team in the nation (72.9 points per game) last season. Defensively, it was 18th-best (64.6 points allowed per game).
• South Alabama was 194th in the nation in rebounds per game (31.6) and 294th in rebounds allowed (33.1) last year.
• Last season South Alabama was ranked 111th in college basketball in assists with 14.4 per game.
• In terms of turnovers, South Alabama was fifth-best in college basketball in committing them (8.5 per game) last season. It was 67th in forcing them (12.6 per game).
• Georgia Southern ranked 162nd in the country last year with 74.2 points per game. At the other end, it ranked 292nd with 75.9 points allowed per game.
• Georgia Southern pulled down 32.9 rebounds per game (127th-ranked in college basketball). It allowed 33.5 rebounds per contest (310th-ranked).
• Georgia Southern ranked 174th in college basketball with 13.6 assists per game.
• Georgia Southern averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (327th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 12.1 turnovers per contest (100th-ranked).

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