Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 1:14 a.m.

On Friday in MLB, the Boston Red Sox are playing the Washington Nationals.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this game.

Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (43-45) vs. Washington Nationals (37-50)
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Time: 11:05 a.m. ET
• Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
• Coverage: MLB Network, MASN, and NESN

Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-116) | WSH: (-102)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+146) | WSH: +1.5 (-176)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)

Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Giolito (Red Sox) - 4-1, 3.99 ERA vs Mike Soroka (Nationals) - 3-5, 4.70 ERA

The Red Sox will give the nod to Lucas Giolito (4-1, 3.99 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 5 on the season, and the Nationals will counter with Mike Soroka (3-5, 4.70 ERA). Giolito's team is 7-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Giolito's team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. When Soroka starts, the Nationals are 5-6-0 against the spread. The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Soroka's starts this season, and they went 3-7 in those matchups.

Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nationals win (51.2%)

Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Red Sox vs. Nationals reveal Boston as the favorite (-116) and Washington as the underdog (-102) despite being the home team.

Red Sox vs Nationals Spread

• The Nationals are hosting the Red Sox, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Nationals are +146 to cover the spread, and the Red Sox are -176.

Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under

• The over/under for the Red Sox versus Nationals contest on July 4 has been set at 8.5, with -104 odds on the over and -118 odds on the under.

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Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have come away with 26 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• This season Boston has been victorious 25 times in 48 chances when named as a favorite of at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over in 41 of their 87 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 87 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 44-43-0 against the spread.
• The Nationals have put together a 32-33 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 49.2% of those games).
• Washington has a 30-31 record (winning 49.2% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of -102 or longer.
• The Nationals have combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times this season for a 44-38-1 record against the over/under.
• The Nationals have a 45-38-0 record ATS this season (covering 54.2% of the time).

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran leads Boston in slugging percentage (.409) thanks to 36 extra-base hits. He has a .253 batting average and an on-base percentage of .312.
• Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, he is 89th in batting average, 109th in on-base percentage, and 95th in slugging.
• Duran has recorded a base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, a triple, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu leads Boston with 65 hits and an OBP of .329 this season. He's batting .261 and slugging .506.
• His batting average ranks 70th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 76th, and his slugging percentage 20th.
• Abreu brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .350 with a double, four home runs, a walk and 12 RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .254 with a .424 slugging percentage and 33 RBI this year.
• Trevor Story is batting .244 with a .286 OBP and 47 RBI for Boston this season.
• Story enters this game on a five-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .474 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBIs.

Nationals Player Leaders

• James Wood has accumulated 96 hits with a .395 on-base percentage and a .563 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Nationals. He's batting .294.
• Including all qualified players, he is 16th in batting average, while his on-base percentage is fifth and he is fifth in slugging.
• Wood hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .417 with two home runs, 11 walks and 10 RBIs.
• C.J. Abrams has 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 23 walks while batting .286. He's slugging .488 with an on-base percentage of .356.
• Including all qualified players, he is 31st in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage and 31st in slugging percentage.
• Luis Garcia is batting .272 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
• Nathaniel Lowe has 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 31 walks while batting .230.

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