Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 4

Odds updated as of 10:14 a.m.

The MLB schedule on Friday includes the Boston Red Sox taking on the Washington Nationals.

All the info you need to make smart wagers on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.

Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (43-45) vs. Washington Nationals (37-50)
• Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
• Time: 11:05 a.m. ET
• Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
• Coverage: MLB Network, MASN, and NESN

Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-110) | WSH: (-106)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+146) | WSH: +1.5 (-178)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)

Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Lucas Giolito (Red Sox) - 4-1, 3.99 ERA vs Mike Soroka (Nationals) - 3-5, 4.70 ERA

The Red Sox will give the nod to Lucas Giolito (4-1) versus the Nationals and Mike Soroka (3-5). When Giolito starts, his team is 7-4-0 against the spread this season. Giolito's team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Nationals have gone 5-6-0 against the spread when Soroka starts. The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Soroka's starts this season, and they went 3-7 in those games.

Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nationals win (52%)

Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline

• Washington is the underdog, -106 on the moneyline, while Boston is a -110 favorite despite being on the road.

Red Sox vs Nationals Spread

• The Nationals are +1.5 on the run line against the Red Sox. The Nationals are -178 to cover, and the Red Sox are +146.

Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under

• Red Sox versus Nationals, on July 4, has an over/under of 8.5, with the over being -104 and the under -118.

Bet on Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals on FanDuel today!

Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have come away with 26 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• Boston has a record of 26-27 in contests when sportsbooks favor them by -110 or more on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Red Sox have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 87 chances this season.
• The Red Sox are 44-43-0 against the spread in their 87 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Nationals have compiled a 32-33 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 49.2% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -106 or longer, Washington has a record of 32-33 (49.2%).
• The Nationals have played in 83 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-38-1).
• The Nationals have collected a 45-38-0 record ATS this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran has an OPS of .721, fueled by an OBP of .312 and a team-best slugging percentage of .409 this season. He has a .253 batting average.
• He is 89th in batting average, 109th in on-base percentage, and 95th in slugging among qualifying hitters in baseball.
• Duran hopes to build on a four-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double, a triple, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
• Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox in OBP (.329) and total hits (65) this season. He's batting .261 while slugging .506.
• He is 70th in batting average, 76th in on-base percentage and 20th in slugging among qualified hitters.
• Abreu has picked up a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, four home runs, a walk and 12 RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .254 with a .424 slugging percentage and 33 RBI this year.
• Trevor Story has 12 home runs, 47 RBI and a batting average of .244 this season.
• Story has hit safely in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .474 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBIs.

Nationals Player Leaders

• James Wood has accumulated an on-base percentage of .395, a slugging percentage of .563, and has 96 hits, all club-highs for the Nationals (while batting .294).
• Including all qualifying hitters in MLB, he is 16th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging percentage.
• Wood hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .417 with two home runs, 11 walks and 10 RBIs.
• C.J. Abrams is batting .286 with 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 23 walks. He's slugging .488 with an on-base percentage of .356.
• Including all qualifying players, his batting average puts him 31st, his on-base percentage ranks 43rd, and he is 31st in slugging.
• Luis Garcia has 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks while batting .272.
• Nathaniel Lowe is batting .230 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 31 walks.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!