Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 1

Odds updated as of 1:11 p.m.

The MLB's Wednesday schedule includes the Boston Red Sox taking on the Washington Nationals.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this game.

Red Sox vs Nationals Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (37-47) vs. Washington Nationals (44-43)
• Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: Fenway Park -- Boston, Massachusetts
• Coverage: NESN and Nationals.TV

Red Sox vs Nationals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-148) | WSH: (+126)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+132) | WSH: +1.5 (-160)
• Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)

Red Sox vs Nationals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 4-5, 2.78 ERA vs Brad Lord (Nationals) - 5-1, 3.31 ERA

The Red Sox will give the nod to Payton Tolle (4-5) versus the Nationals and Brad Lord (5-1). When Tolle starts, his team is 3-9-0 against the spread this season. Tolle's team has been victorious in 50% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-3. Last season when Lord pitched his team went 10-9-0 against the spread. Lord and his team finished with a 8-8 record in the 16 games he pitched when they were the moneyline underdog a season ago.

Red Sox vs Nationals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (53.6%)

Red Sox vs Nationals Moneyline

• Washington is a +126 underdog on the moneyline, while Boston is a -148 favorite at home.

Red Sox vs Nationals Spread

• The Red Sox are hosting the Nationals and are favored by 1.5 runs (+132 to cover) on the runline. Washington is -160 to cover.

Red Sox vs Nationals Over/Under

• The over/under for Red Sox-Nationals on July 1 is 9.5. The over is -106, and the under is -114.

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Red Sox vs Nationals Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 23, or 43.4%, of the 53 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This year Boston has won five of 13 games when listed as at least -148 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of their 84 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 37-47-0 against the spread in their 84 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Nationals have won 38 of the 74 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (51.4%).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +126 or longer, Washington has a record of 17-21 (44.7%).
• The Nationals have played in 85 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 50 times (50-32-3).
• The Nationals have a 50-35-0 record ATS this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Willson Contreras leads Boston with 81 hits and an OBP of .374 this season. He has a .280 batting average and a slugging percentage of .529.
• Among the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 31st, his on-base percentage ranks 22nd, and he is 11th in slugging.
• Wilyer Abreu has hit 10 homers this season while driving in 39 runs. He's batting .268 this season and slugging .433 with an on-base percentage of .333.
• Among qualifying hitters, he is 50th in batting average, 72nd in on-base percentage and 72nd in slugging percentage.
• Abreu has picked up a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .188 with a triple, three walks and an RBI.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has collected 83 base hits, an OBP of .327 and a slugging percentage of .431 this season.
• Caleb Durbin is batting .232 with a .287 OBP and 35 RBI for Boston this season.
• Durbin has hit safely in six straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .382 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBIs.

Nationals Player Leaders

• James Wood has racked up an on-base percentage of .385 and a slugging percentage of .513. Both lead the Nationals. He's batting .263.
• He ranks 62nd in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and 18th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in MLB.
• Wood enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• C.J. Abrams has 16 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .273. He's slugging .511 with an on-base percentage of .355.
• Including all qualified hitters, he is 42nd in batting average, 42nd in on-base percentage and 21st in slugging percentage.
• Luis Garcia has 74 hits, a team-high for the Nationals.
• Daylen Lile has 18 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 24 walks while batting .251.

Red Sox vs Nationals Head to Head

• 6/30/2026: 8-1 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 6/29/2026: 6-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
• 7/6/2025: 6-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -245, Underdog Moneyline: +200)
• 7/5/2025: 10-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 7/4/2025: 11-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/12/2024: 3-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 5/11/2024: 4-2 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 5/10/2024: 5-1 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
• 8/17/2023: 10-7 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -186, Underdog Moneyline: +156)
• 8/16/2023: 6-2 WSH (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)

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