Portugal vs Spain Prediction, Picks, Lineups & Best Bets Today World Cup 2026 Round of 16

Chris Beck

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Portugal vs Spain Prediction, Picks, Lineups & Best Bets Today World Cup 2026 Round of 16

Portugal vs Spain: Updated Prediction, Picks, Lineups & Best Bets Today | World Cup 2026 Round of 16

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🏆 WORLD CUP 2026 · ROUND OF 16 · UPDATED ODDS · TODAY · ALL ODDS FANDUEL

Today, Monday July 6 · 3:00 PM ET · AT&T Stadium · Arlington, TX · FOX

Portugal vs Spain: Updated Prediction & Best Bets

Updated for kickoff · Nico Williams a live bench option · Latest FanDuel odds

Spain -220 To Advance · Oyarzabal Anytime +150 · Draw 1-1 Still Board's Shortest Score

Must be 21+ · Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER · FanDuel Sportsbook

⚡ UPDATED: NICO WILLIAMS EXPECTED TO BE A GENUINE IMPACT OPTION OFF THE BENCH, NOT A DEAD PRICE · SPAIN STILL -220 TO ADVANCE, UNCHANGED · OYARZABAL ANYTIME +150 REMAINS THE BOARD'S OUTRIGHT FAVORITE · BTTS YES STILL -158 · OVER 2.5 GOALS STILL FAVORED AT -124 (NARROWED SLIGHTLY) · CORRECT SCORE DRAW 1-1 STILL THE BOARD'S SHORTEST EXACT SCORE AT +550 · THIS COULD BE RONALDO'S FINAL-EVER WORLD CUP MATCH

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Round of 16 · Today · 3:00 PM ET · AT&T Stadium Arlington · FOX

🇵🇹 Portugal

vs 🇪🇸 Spain

Possibly Ronaldo's Final WC Match Spain: 4 Clean Sheets, 0 Goals Conceded

FD Moneyline (90 min)

ESP -115

POR +320 · Draw +250

To Qualify (reg+ET+pens)

ESP -220 · POR +178

FD ODDS:

BTTS Yes -158

O2.5 -124

U1.5 +310

O3.5 +210

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Updated Today: Nico Williams Is a Live Bench Threat

Williams remains an impact option off the bench rather than a starter, but with four additional days of recovery since the Austria game, he's genuinely closer to full sharpness than he's been all tournament. Elsewhere, both squads look settled: Ronaldo starts again for Portugal in what's increasingly being described as a possible farewell World Cup appearance, and Spain's back four remains unchanged behind a defense that's yet to concede a single goal this tournament — one of only two teams (alongside co-host Mexico) that can say that.

📖 Match Preview

Nothing about the underlying picture has changed since our last look — this remains the marquee tie of the round, and if anything the stakes have grown even sharper. Portugal survived a bizarre finish against Croatia, with a would-be Josko Gvardiol equalizer overturned by ball-sensor technology after replays proved inconclusive to the naked eye, sending Ronaldo's tournament into a knockout round he's failed to escape in three of his last four attempts (2010, 2018, Euro 2020). Spain, by contrast, cruised past Austria 3-0 without much difficulty, extending their run to four consecutive clean sheets and marking their first non-group-stage World Cup win since Andrés Iniesta's iconic 2010 final goal. Mikel Oyarzabal has quietly racked up 23 goal involvements across his last 16 starts for the national team — the form player of this exact matchup.

📋 Predicted Lineups

🇵🇹 Portugal · 4-2-3-1

Diogo Costa

DEF

João Cancelo · Rúben Dias · Renato Veiga · Nuno Mendes

MID

João Neves · Vitinha

ATT

Pedro Neto ⚠️ · Bruno Fernandes · Rafael Leão

LONE ST

Cristiano Ronaldo ⭐

Ramos ready off the bench again after his Croatia winner

🇪🇸 Spain · 4-3-3

Unai Simón

DEF

Pedro Porro · Pau Cubarsí · Aymeric Laporte · Marc Cucurella

MID

Rodri · Pedri · Dani Olmo

ATT

Lamine Yamal ⭐ · Mikel Oyarzabal ⭐ · Alex Baena

Nico Williams ✅ available off the bench, closer to full sharpness

⭐ Best Bets — FanDuel

⭐ Best Bet #1 · Anchor Play

Spain To Advance

Unchanged since our last look — the tournament's most complete side, still unbeaten and yet to concede · Covers 90 min, ET and penalties

-220

$22→$10 profit

⭐ Best Bet #2 · Goalscorer Favorite

Mikel Oyarzabal — Anytime Goalscorer

Still the board's outright favorite — 23 goal involvements across his last 16 starts, and the standout individual performer in this exact matchup

+150

$10→$25

⭐ Best Bet #3 · Both Attacks Carry Real Threats

Both Teams to Score — Yes

Unchanged at -158 — Ronaldo's hat-trick history against this exact opponent and Spain's own depth make a clean shutout genuinely unlikely either way

-158

$15.80→$10 profit

⭐ Best Bet #4 · Two Explosive Attacks

Over 2.5 Total Goals

Still favored, though narrowed slightly since our last look — this fixture's history (the 2018 3-3 classic) continues to point toward goals

-124

$12.40→$10 profit

⭐ Best Bet #5 · Board's Shortest Exact Score

Correct Score — Draw 1-1

Still shorter than any single Spain or Portugal win — the market continues to see this as the round's most competitive tie

+550

$10→$65

📋 New Market Available: Double Chance

FanDuel now shows Double Chance pricing for this match: Portugal-or-Draw at -120, Spain-or-Draw at -450, and Portugal-or-Spain (excluding a draw) at -330. Given how short the Spain-or-Draw price already is, it doesn't offer much extra value over backing Spain outright — but Portugal-or-Draw at -120 is a reasonable, lower-variance way to back the underdog's resilience without needing an outright win.

🎯 Same-Game Parlay Idea · FanDuel

Spain to advance + Both Teams to Score Yes + Mikel Oyarzabal anytime goal

Builds on Spain's favorite status, both sides' proven attacking quality, and Oyarzabal's role as the tournament's quietly dominant scorer. Check FanDuel for current SGP pricing. "To Advance" covers 90 min, ET and penalties.

⚠️ SGPs are high-risk. Must be 21+. Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER.

🏆 Our Prediction · Portugal vs Spain · World Cup R16 · Today

Spain 2–1 Portugal

Oyarzabal continues his quiet tournament dominance, Ronaldo answers with a moment of his own — possibly his last at a World Cup — but Spain's superior overall control tells in the closing stages.

Confidence

MEDIUM

Nothing in this update changes our read from before — Spain's defensive record and control give them the edge, but Portugal's win over this exact opponent in last year's Nations League final and Ronaldo's history of producing his best against Spain specifically keep this genuinely competitive. The correct score board's own shortest price (a 1-1 draw) still reflects that tension better than the moneyline alone.

FanDuel Sportsbook · World Cup 2026 · Portugal vs Spain · Today · 3PM ET · FOX

Bet Portugal vs Spain on FanDuel

Oyarzabal anytime +150 · BTTS Yes -158 · Spain to advance -220

Bet Now

All odds FanDuel Sportsbook, updated today · 3-Way Moneyline (90 min): Portugal +320 / Draw +250 / Spain -115 · 2 Up Early Payout: Portugal +280 / Draw +250 / Spain -120 · To Qualify (reg+ET+pens): Portugal +178 / Spain -220 · Anytime Goalscorer (top of board): Oyarzabal +150, Yamal +170, Ronaldo +185, Ferran Torres +200, N.Williams +240, Baena +320, Olmo +320, Felix +360, Leao +440, Fabian Ruiz +460, Fernandes +480 · To Score or Assist: Yamal -125, Oyarzabal -105, Ferran Torres +110, N.Williams +115, Ronaldo +150 · Player 1+ SOT: Yamal -360, Oyarzabal -300, Ferran Torres -260, Ronaldo -260, N.Williams -190 · First Goalscorer: Oyarzabal +480, Yamal +550, Ronaldo +600, Ferran Torres +650, N.Williams +750 · Correct Score: Portugal 1-0 +1200, Draw 0-0 +1200, Spain 0-1 +700, Portugal 2-0 +2500, Draw 1-1 +550, Spain 0-2 +950, Portugal 2-1 +1200, Draw 2-2 +1200, Spain 1-2 +700, Portugal 3-0 +6000 · BTTS Yes -158 / No +124 · O/U 1.5: -420 / +310 · O/U 2.5: -124 / +102 · O/U 3.5: +210 / -265 · Double Chance: Portugal-or-Draw -120, Spain-or-Draw -450, Portugal-or-Spain -330 · Nico Williams expected as an impact option off the bench, not yet a starter · No new injuries reported · AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX · Today, Monday July 6, kickoff 3:00 PM ET · FOX/Telemundo · Winner faces USA/Belgium winner in the Quarterfinal · Must be 21+ · Gambling Problem? 1-800-GAMBLER

Updated Portugal vs Spain prediction, picks, lineups & best bets. Get up to $1,000 in Bet Reset Tokens when you bet $5 daily for the next 5 days. You'll receive $200 in Bet Resets every day you qualify! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today's other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which World Cup bets stand out to you? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's World Cup odds to see the full menu of options.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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