Pirates vs Reds Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 3

Odds updated as of 10:11 p.m.

The MLB's Sunday slate includes the Pittsburgh Pirates facing the Cincinnati Reds.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's what you need to know.

Pirates vs Reds Game Info

• Pittsburgh Pirates (18-16) vs. Cincinnati Reds (20-13)
• Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
• Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
• Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Coverage: SportsNet PT and Reds.TV

Pirates vs Reds Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PIT: (-120) | CIN: (+102)
• Spread: PIT: +1.5 (-210) | CIN: -1.5 (+172)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)

Pirates vs Reds Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Braxton Ashcraft (Pirates) - 1-2, 3.71 ERA vs Chase Burns (Reds) - 3-1, 2.65 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Pirates will send Braxton Ashcraft (1-2) to the mound, while Chase Burns (3-1) will answer the bell for the Reds. Ashcraft and his team have a record of 3-3-0 against the spread when he starts. Ashcraft's team has a record of 2-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline. The Reds have gone 3-3-0 against the spread when Burns starts. The Reds were the underdog on the moneyline for one Burns start this season -- they won.

Pirates vs Reds Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pirates win (57.2%)

Pirates vs Reds Moneyline

• Cincinnati is the underdog, +102 on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is a -120 favorite at home.

Pirates vs Reds Spread

• The Reds are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Pirates. The Reds are +172 to cover, while the Pirates are -210 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Pirates vs Reds Over/Under

• A combined run total of 7.5 has been set for Pirates-Reds on May 3, with the over at -122 and the under at +100.

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Pirates vs Reds Betting Trends

• The Pirates have been chosen as favorites in 20 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (60%) in those games.
• This year Pittsburgh has won eight of 16 games when listed as at least -120 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Pirates have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 19 of 33 chances this season.
• The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 18-15-0 in 33 games with a line this season.
• The Reds have won 66.7% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (14-7).
• Cincinnati has gone 10-7 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer (58.8%).
• The Reds have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 20 times this season for a 20-11-1 record against the over/under.
• The Reds have gone 19-13-0 ATS this season.

Pirates Player Leaders

• Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .316 with five doubles, five home runs and 16 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .401 while slugging .487.
• Among qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 17th, his on-base percentage ranks 15th, and he is 37th in slugging.
• O'Hearn hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with a double, a home run, two walks and seven RBIs.
• Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in OBP (.408) this season, fueled by 32 hits. He's batting .264 while slugging .438.
• Among qualifying batters, he is 63rd in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage and 65th in slugging percentage.
• Reynolds takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .444 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, six walks and five RBIs.
• Brandon Lowe leads Pittsburgh with 28 hits. He is batting .250 this season and 16 of his hits have gone for extra bases.
• Oneil Cruz has nine home runs, 27 RBI and a batting average of .257 this season.
• Cruz heads into this matchup on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.

Reds Player Leaders

• Sal Stewart is batting .260 with six doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks. He's slugging .528 with an on-base percentage of .350.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, he is 69th in batting average, 67th in on-base percentage and 24th in slugging percentage.
• Elly De La Cruz's 36 hits, .352 on-base percentage and .554 slugging percentage all pace his team. He has a batting average of .277.
• Including all qualifying hitters, he ranks 49th in batting average, 65th in on-base percentage and 17th in slugging percentage.
• Nathaniel Lowe is batting .288 with five doubles, five home runs and seven walks.
• Spencer Steer is batting .243 with six doubles, five home runs and 10 walks.

Pirates vs Reds Head to Head

• 5/2/2026: 17-7 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 4/1/2026: 8-3 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 3/31/2026: 8-3 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 3/30/2026: 2-0 CIN (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 9/24/2025: 4-3 PIT (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 9/23/2025: 4-2 PIT (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
• 8/10/2025: 14-8 CIN (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 8/9/2025: 2-1 CIN (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 8/8/2025: 3-2 PIT (Favorite: Reds, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 8/7/2025: 7-0 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)

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