Pirates vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 7

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.
MLB action on Friday includes the Pittsburgh Pirates playing the New York Mets.
Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Pirates vs Mets Game Info
- Pittsburgh Pirates (57-60) vs. New York Mets (50-66)
- Date: Friday, August 7, 2026
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: SportsNet PT and WPIX
Pirates vs Mets Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: PIT: (-142) | NYM: (+120)
- Spread: PIT: -1.5 (+150) | NYM: +1.5 (-182)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (+102) | Under: (-124)
Pirates vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates) - 6-3, 3.15 ERA vs Zach Thornton (Mets) - 2-2, 2.88 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Pirates will send Carmen Mlodzinski (6-3) to the mound, while Zach Thornton (2-2) will take the ball for the Mets. Mlodzinski's team is 6-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Mlodzinski's team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they're favored on the moneyline. The Mets have gone 4-2-0 ATS in Thornton's six starts with a set spread. The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in three of Thornton's starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
Pirates vs Mets Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pirates win (56.5%)
Pirates vs Mets Moneyline
- The moneyline numbers for Pirates vs. Mets reveal Pittsburgh as the favorite (-142) and New York as the underdog (+120) on the road.
Pirates vs Mets Spread
- The Pirates are favored by 1.5 runs at home against the Mets. The Pirates are +150 to cover the spread, while the Mets are -182.
Pirates vs Mets Over/Under
- A total of 8.5 runs has been set for the Pirates-Mets game on Aug. 7, with the over available at +102 and the under at -124.
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Pirates vs Mets Betting Trends
- The Pirates have been chosen as favorites in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (55.7%) in those games.
- This year Pittsburgh has won 11 of 24 games when listed as at least -142 on the moneyline.
- The Pirates and their opponents have hit the over in 64 of their 115 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Pirates are 57-58-0 against the spread in their 115 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mets are 13-32 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 28.9% of those games).
- New York has a 1-16 record (winning just 5.9% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
- The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers 112 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 49 of those games (49-57-6).
- The Mets have gone 52-60-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Player Leaders
- Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh with an OBP of .377 this season while batting .266 with 70 walks and 78 runs scored. He has a slugging percentage of .441.
- Among all qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 55th, his on-base percentage ranks 14th, and he is 61st in slugging.
- Brandon Lowe has 109 hits, which is best among Pittsburgh batters this season. He's batting .255 with 50 extra-base hits. He's also slugging .486 with an on-base percentage of .321.
- Among qualifying batters, his batting average ranks him 77th, his on-base percentage 96th, and his slugging percentage 24th.
- Nick Gonzales has an OPS of .761, fueled by an OBP of .362 and a team-best slugging percentage of .399 this season.
- Gonzales enters this game with two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with .
- Spencer Horwitz has 10 home runs, 37 RBI and a batting average of .271 this season.
Mets Player Leaders
- Carson Benge has 15 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 33 walks while batting .267. He's slugging .410 with an on-base percentage of .327.
- Including all qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average places him 53rd, his on-base percentage ranks 83rd, and he is 90th in slugging.
- Benge heads into this game on a three-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .273 with a triple, two home runs, a walk and three RBIs.
- Bo Bichette's .370 slugging percentage leads his team. He has a batting average of .257 with an on-base percentage of .301.
- He is currently 72nd in batting average, 121st in on-base percentage and 124th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
- Marcus Semien is batting .214 with nine doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 29 walks.
- Francisco Lindor is batting .230 with six doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 25 walks.
Pirates vs Mets Head to Head
- 3/29/2026: 4-3 PIT (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -188, Underdog Moneyline: +158)
- 3/28/2026: 4-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
- 3/26/2026: 11-7 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
- 6/29/2025: 12-1 PIT (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 6/28/2025: 9-2 PIT (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 6/27/2025: 9-1 PIT (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 5/14/2025: 4-0 PIT (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
- 5/13/2025: 2-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -250, Underdog Moneyline: +205)
- 5/12/2025: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
- 7/8/2024: 8-2 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
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