Phillies vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 5

Odds updated as of 2:12 p.m.

The Philadelphia Phillies are among the MLB teams in action on Sunday, up against the Kansas City Royals.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this matchup.

Phillies vs Royals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies (50-39) vs. Kansas City Royals (35-54)
• Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
• Time: 3 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium -- Kansas City, Missouri
• Coverage: Peacock and NBCS-PH

Phillies vs Royals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: PHI: (-156) | KC: (+132)
• Spread: PHI: -1.5 (+108) | KC: +1.5 (-130)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)

Phillies vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola (Phillies) - 3-5, 6.04 ERA vs Luinder Avila (Royals) - 3-3, 5.40 ERA

The Phillies will give the ball to Aaron Nola (3-5, 6.04 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 4 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Luinder Avila (3-3, 5.40 ERA). When Nola starts, his team is 5-12-0 against the spread this season. Nola's team is 5-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. When Avila starts, the Royals are 5-2-0 against the spread. The Royals have been the moneyline underdog in seven of Avila's starts this season, and they went 5-2 in those matchups.

Phillies vs Royals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (56.6%)

Phillies vs Royals Moneyline

• Looking at the moneyline for Royals-Phillies, Kansas City is the underdog at +132, and Philadelphia is -156 playing on the road.

Phillies vs Royals Spread

• The Royals are +1.5 on the spread (-130 to cover), and Philadelphia is +108 to cover the runline.

Phillies vs Royals Over/Under

• An over/under of 9 has been set for Phillies-Royals on July 5, with the over being -106 and the under -114.

Bet on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals on FanDuel today!

Phillies vs Royals Betting Trends

• The Phillies have been chosen as favorites in 64 games this year and have walked away with the win 41 times (64.1%) in those games.
• This year Philadelphia has won 27 of 34 games when listed as at least -156 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies' games have gone over the total in 39 of their 87 opportunities.
• The Phillies are 33-54-0 against the spread in their 87 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Royals have put together a 19-35 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35.2% of those games).
• Kansas City has a record of 3-3 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +132 or longer (50%).
• The Royals have had an over/under set by bookmakers 85 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 42 of those games (42-42-1).
• The Royals are 37-48-0 ATS this season.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Bryce Harper leads Philadelphia in OBP (.374) this season, fueled by 86 hits. He has a .274 batting average and a slugging percentage of .529.
• Among the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 40th, his on-base percentage ranks 24th, and he is 12th in slugging.
• Harper has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and six RBIs.
• Kyle Schwarber has 82 hits, which is tops among Philadelphia batters this season. He's batting .256 with 40 extra-base hits. He's also slugging .572 with an on-base percentage of .371.
• He is 78th in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage and third in slugging in MLB.
• Brandon Marsh has an OPS of .857, fueled by an OBP of .342 and a team-best slugging percentage of .514 this season.
• Trea Turner has 10 home runs, 31 RBI and a batting average of .239 this season.
• Turner takes a six-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .326 with three doubles, three home runs, a walk and eight RBIs.

Royals Player Leaders

• Bobby Witt Jr. has put up a team-best OBP (.358) and slugging percentage (.465), and leads the Royals in hits (93, while batting .286).
• Including all qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average puts him 26th, his on-base percentage is 39th, and he is 46th in slugging.
• Carter Jensen is hitting .247 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 27 walks. He's slugging .445 with an on-base percentage of .310.
• He is currently 91st in batting average, 118th in on-base percentage and 64th in slugging percentage among all qualified batters.
• Jac Caglianone has 74 hits, a team-high for the Royals.
• Michael Massey is hitting .252 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 10 walks.

Phillies vs Royals Head to Head

• 7/4/2026: 6-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 9/14/2025: 10-3 KC (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 9/13/2025: 8-6 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 9/12/2025: 8-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 8/25/2024: 11-3 PHI (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 8/24/2024: 11-2 PHI (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 8/23/2024: 7-4 KC (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 8/6/2023: 8-4 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -215, Underdog Moneyline: +180)
• 8/5/2023: 9-6 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -235, Underdog Moneyline: +194)
• 8/4/2023: 7-5 KC (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -275, Underdog Moneyline: +225)

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