Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 3

Odds updated as of 12:11 p.m.
MLB action on Saturday includes the Philadelphia Phillies facing the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Game Info
- Philadelphia Phillies (18-14) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (17-15)
- Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
- Time: 6:05 p.m. ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: NBCS-PH and ARID
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: PHI: (-120) | ARI: (+102)
- Spread: PHI: +1.5 (-184) | ARI: -1.5 (+152)
- Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola (Phillies) - 0-5, 5.40 ERA vs Brandon Pfaadt (Diamondbacks) - 5-1, 2.78 ERA
The Phillies will give the ball to Aaron Nola (0-5, 5.40 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 1 on the season, and the Diamondbacks will turn to Brandon Pfaadt (5-1, 2.78 ERA). Nola's team is 2-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Nola's team has been upset in each of the four games he's started as the moneyline favorite. The Diamondbacks have a 5-1-0 record against the spread in Pfaadt's starts. The Diamondbacks were the underdog on the moneyline for one Pfaadt start this season -- they won.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Phillies win (50.8%)
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Moneyline
- Looking at the moneyline for Phillies-Diamondbacks, Philadelphia is the favorite at -120, and Arizona is +102 playing on the road.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Spread
- The Diamondbacks are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Phillies. The Diamondbacks are +152 to cover, while the Phillies are -184 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Over/Under
- A total of 9.5 runs has been set for the Phillies-Diamondbacks contest on May 3, with the over available at -115 and the under at -105.
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Phillies vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends
- The Phillies have won in 14, or 58.3%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This season Philadelphia has come away with a win 13 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -120 on the moneyline.
- Contests with the Phillies have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 15 of 31 chances this season.
- The Phillies are 16-15-0 against the spread in their 31 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Diamondbacks have a 4-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.4% of those games).
- Arizona is 3-5 (winning only 37.5% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
- The Diamondbacks have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 31 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 16 of those games (16-13-2).
- The Diamondbacks have put together a 15-16-0 record ATS this season (covering 48.4% of the time).
Phillies Player Leaders
- Kyle Schwarber has 28 hits and an OBP of .400, both of which are tops among Philadelphia hitters this season. He has a .250 batting average and a slugging percentage of .563.
- Among qualified hitters in baseball, he is 81st in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
- Bryce Harper is batting .235 with six doubles, five home runs and 24 walks, while slugging .412 with an on-base percentage of .364.
- He is 101st in batting average, 38th in on-base percentage and 81st in slugging in the major leagues.
- Harper has picked up a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a double and a walk.
- Bryson Stott has collected 30 base hits, an OBP of .350 and a slugging percentage of .404 this season.
- Trea Turner leads Philadelphia with a slugging percentage of .368, fueled by six extra-base hits.
- Turner has hit safely in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .579 with a double, two walks and three RBI.
Diamondbacks Player Leaders
- Geraldo Perdomo is hitting .277 with five doubles, five home runs and 23 walks. He's slugging .455 with an on-base percentage of .390.
- Including all qualified hitters in the big leagues, he ranks 44th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging percentage.
- Perdomo hopes to build on a five-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with a double, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
- Corbin Carroll paces his team with 39 hits and has a club-best .599 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .285 with an on-base percentage of .347.
- He is currently 29th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and seventh in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters.
- Josh Naylor a has .391 on-base percentage to pace the Diamondbacks.
- Eugenio Suarez has five doubles, 10 home runs and 12 walks while hitting .186.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Head to Head
- 5/2/2025: 3-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
- 8/11/2024: 12-5 ARI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 8/10/2024: 11-1 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 8/9/2024: 3-2 ARI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 8/8/2024: 6-4 PHI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 6/23/2024: 4-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -245, Underdog Moneyline: +200)
- 6/22/2024: 12-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
- 6/21/2024: 5-4 ARI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 10/24/2023: 4-2 ARI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
- 10/23/2023: 5-1 ARI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -190, Underdog Moneyline: +160)
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