Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 16

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Smoothie King Center -- New Orleans, Louisiana
• Coverage: KFAA, Gulf Coast Sports, and Pelicans+

The New Orleans Pelicans (22-46) are favored (by 8.5 points) to continue a four-game home win streak when they host the Dallas Mavericks (23-45) on Monday, March 16, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup's point total is set at 240.5.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pelicans win (68.1%)

Pelicans vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Pelicans have registered a 38-28-1 record against the spread this season.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks are 29-38-1 this year.
• This season, 35 of the Pelicans' games have gone over the point total.
• Mavericks games this season have hit the over 45.6% of the time (31 out of 68 games with a set point total).
• At home, New Orleans owns a better record against the spread (21-13-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (17-15-1).
• Looking at point totals, the Pelicans hit the over more often at home, as they've gone over the total 19 times in 34 opportunities this season (55.9%). In road games, they have hit the over 16 times in 34 opportunities (47.1%).
• This season, Dallas is 16-17-1 at home against the spread (.471 winning percentage). Away, it is 13-21-0 ATS (.382).
• Looking at the over/under, Mavericks games have gone over 17 of 34 times at home (50%), and 14 of 34 on the road (41.2%).

Pelicans Leaders

• Trey Murphy III is averaging 21.9 points, 3.9 assists and 5.7 boards.
• Derik Queen's numbers on the season are 11.6 points, 7 boards and 3.9 assists per contest, shooting 48.1% from the floor.
• Saddiq Bey averages 17.1 points, 5.7 boards and 2.5 assists, shooting 44.8% from the floor and 34.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 made treys per game.
• Zion Williamson's numbers on the season are 21.4 points, 5.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game, shooting 58.8% from the field (ninth in NBA).
• Jeremiah Fears is averaging 13.1 points, 3.7 boards and 3.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg's numbers on the season are 20.2 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game. He is also draining 47.1% of his shots from the floor and 29.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 1 trey.
• The Mavericks are getting 15.1 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game from Naji Marshall.
• The Mavericks get 13.9 points per game from P.J. Washington, plus 7 boards and 1.9 assists.
• Brandon Williams' numbers on the season are 13 points, 3 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. He is sinking 47.3% of his shots from the field.
• Max Christie averages 12.7 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.1 assists. He is making 45.1% of his shots from the field and 40.6% from 3-point range, with 2.4 treys per contest.

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