England arrive at MetLife Stadium — the venue hosting the World Cup final — in complete control. Four points means Tuchel's side are through regardless of result; a win seals first place. Thomas Tuchel projects a strong XI with Kane, Bellingham, Saka and Rashford. Panama are eliminated, goalless, and face the nation that put six past them in Russia 2018. Harry Kane scored a hat-trick that day and has already netted twice at this tournament. He needs one more to match Gary Lineker's record for England at a single World Cup.

Bleacher Report confirms FD: England -700 · Panama +1600 · Draw +700. Squawka: "England are among the World Cup 2026 outright favorites." RotoWire projection: 3-0 England. Panama have generated just 1.86 xG in two matches with 19 shots and only 5 on target — against a defence that kept clean sheets in all 8 WC qualifying games. The quality gap is stark.

Covers: "Once the three points are secure, we're likely to see Tuchel rest key players — that'll disrupt the game and minimize risk, keeping the score low." Lineups.com: "England hit the Under in six of eight matches along with its last four World Cup matches when facing a CONCACAF club." Both factors point to Under 2.5 +170 as the primary play — not the -700 moneyline that pays almost nothing.

Lineups.com primary. "England hit the Under in six of eight matches along with its last four World Cup matches when facing a CONCACAF club." Panama hit the Under in three straight and scored under 1.5 goals in those matches. Covers: "Once three points are secured, Tuchel will rotate key players — that disrupts the game and minimizes risk, keeping scoring low." England drew 0-0 with Ghana last game. $10→$27. Playable to -195.

OneFootball: "England win to nil carries genuine appeal — Panama have failed to score in either of their two group games." RotoWire: "This is the bet that captures the whole read — England win and Panama do not score, landing on 3-0 or 2-0 against a team with nothing going forward." England kept clean sheets in all 8 qualifying matches and 10/12 WC wins as favourite ended with a clean sheet. Panama: 0 WC 2026 goals from 19 shots. Check FD for exact price.

Sportsgambler confirms Kane -313 FD. Yahoo: "Kane scored a hat-trick the last time England faced Panama at a World Cup — with 79 international goals and the penalty taker role, his chances are significant." TheSportsRush: "Kane has two goals already at these finals and averages a goal every appearance at World Cup level." RotoWire projects Kane in the XI. Panama have not faced a striker of his calibre in this tournament. $10→$13.20.