Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 9

Odds updated as of 9:12 p.m.
In MLB action on Thursday, the San Diego Padres face the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important information about this game.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Info
- San Diego Padres (46-46) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (45-47)
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: Petco Park -- San Diego, California
- Coverage: Padres.TV and Dbacks.TV
Padres vs Diamondbacks Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: SD: (-126) | ARI: (+108)
- Spread: SD: -1.5 (+160) | ARI: +1.5 (-194)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-124) | Under: (+102)
Padres vs Diamondbacks Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Griffin Canning (Padres) - 1-6, 6.71 ERA vs Merrill Kelly (Diamondbacks) - 6-8, 5.71 ERA
This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Griffin Canning (1-6) to the mound, while Merrill Kelly (6-8) will take the ball for the Diamondbacks. Canning's team is 3-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Canning's team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-2. When Kelly starts, the Diamondbacks are 8-7-0 against the spread. The Diamondbacks have been the underdog on the moneyline in nine of Kelly's starts this season, and they went 3-6 in those games.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (52.9%)
Padres vs Diamondbacks Moneyline
- Arizona is a +108 underdog on the moneyline, while San Diego is a -126 favorite at home.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Spread
- The Diamondbacks are +1.5 on the run line against the Padres. The Diamondbacks are -194 to cover, and the Padres are +160.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Over/Under
- A total of 8.5 runs has been set for the Padres-Diamondbacks game on July 9, with the over available at -124 and the under at +102.
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Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends
- The Padres have won in 20, or 55.6%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This year San Diego has won 14 of 25 games when listed as at least -126 on the moneyline.
- Contests with the Padres have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 92 chances this season.
- In 92 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 50-42-0 against the spread.
- The Diamondbacks have won 18 of the 50 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (36%).
- Arizona is 13-23 (winning only 36.1% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +108 or longer.
- The Diamondbacks have played in 91 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times (38-50-3).
- The Diamondbacks have a 48-43-0 record ATS this season (covering 52.7% of the time).
Padres Player Leaders
- Fernando Tatis Jr. leads San Diego with an OBP of .345, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .385. He's batting .284 on the season.
- Among all qualifying hitters, he is 30th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 52nd, and he is 112th in slugging.
- Tatis hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with three doubles and two RBIs.
- Manny Machado is hitting .188 with 16 doubles, 18 home runs and 44 walks. He's slugging .404 with an on-base percentage of .282.
- Among qualifying hitters, his batting average ranks him 152nd, his on-base percentage 145th, and his slugging percentage 96th.
- Gavin Sheets leads San Diego with 62 hits. He is batting .230 this season and 29 of his hits have gone for extra bases.
- Xander Bogaerts has been key for San Diego with 69 hits, an OBP of .319 plus a slugging percentage of .331.
Diamondbacks Player Leaders
- Ketel Marte has put up a team-best .482 slugging percentage. He's batting .266 with an on-base percentage of .323.
- Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, he ranks 54th in batting average, 90th in on-base percentage and 33rd in slugging percentage.
- Marte hopes to build on a four-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, a triple and three walks.
- Corbin Carroll has collected 86 hits with a .353 OBP to pace his team in both. He has a batting average of .261 while slugging .497.
- He is currently 66th in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage and 27th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
- Geraldo Perdomo is batting .243 with 13 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 52 walks.
- Ildemaro Vargas is hitting .257 with 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 16 walks.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Head to Head
- 7/8/2026: 10-4 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 7/7/2026: 4-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 7/6/2026: 8-0 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 4/26/2026: 12-7 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 15, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 4/25/2026: 6-4 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 16, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 9/28/2025: 12-4 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 9/27/2025: 5-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
- 9/26/2025: 7-4 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 8/6/2025: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 8/5/2025: 10-5 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
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