Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 8

Odds updated as of 9:12 p.m.
The MLB's Tuesday slate includes the San Diego Padres taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Here's what you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Info
- San Diego Padres (48-42) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46)
- Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
- Coverage: SDPA and ARID
Padres vs Diamondbacks Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: SD: (-142) | ARI: (+120)
- Spread: SD: -1.5 (+146) | ARI: +1.5 (-178)
- Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)
Padres vs Diamondbacks Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Nick Pivetta (Padres) - 9-2, 3.25 ERA vs Merrill Kelly (Diamondbacks) - 7-4, 3.55 ERA
The Padres will give the nod to Nick Pivetta (9-2, 3.25 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 10 on the season, and the Diamondbacks will counter with Merrill Kelly (7-4, 3.55 ERA). Pivetta's team is 10-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts. Pivetta's team is 5-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Diamondbacks have gone 6-10-0 against the spread when Kelly starts. The Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Kelly's five starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (53%)
Padres vs Diamondbacks Moneyline
- Looking at the moneyline for Padres-Diamondbacks, San Diego is the favorite at -142, and Arizona is +120 playing on the road.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Spread
- The Padres are hosting the Diamondbacks and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Padres are +146 to cover the runline, with the Diamondbacks being -178.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Over/Under
- Padres versus Diamondbacks, on July 8, has an over/under of 7.5, with the over being -114 and the under -106.
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Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends
- The Padres have been favorites in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (60%) in those contests.
- San Diego has a record of 18-11 when favored by -142 or more this year.
- The Padres' games have gone over the total in 37 of their 89 opportunities.
- The Padres have an against the spread mark of 47-42-0 in 89 games with a line this season.
- The Diamondbacks have been the moneyline underdog 28 total times this season. They've gone 13-15 in those games.
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer, Arizona has gone 8-2 (80%).
- In the 88 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Diamondbacks, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-37-4).
- The Diamondbacks have a 41-47-0 record against the spread this season (covering 46.6% of the time).
Padres Player Leaders
- Manny Machado leads San Diego with 101 hits and a team-best slugging percentage of .484. He's batting .293 with an on-base percentage of .354.
- Among all qualified hitters in MLB, he ranks 18th in batting average, 42nd in on-base percentage, and 32nd in slugging.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. leads San Diego with an OBP of .356 this season while batting .259 with 47 walks and 63 runs scored. He's slugging .440.
- His batting average ranks 78th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 35th, and his slugging percentage 65th.
- Luis Arraez is batting .292 with a .401 slugging percentage and 34 RBI this year.
- Arraez takes a four-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .450 with two walks and two RBIs.
- Gavin Sheets has been key for San Diego with 78 hits, an OBP of .321 plus a slugging percentage of .445.
Diamondbacks Player Leaders
- Geraldo Perdomo has an on-base percentage of .371, a team-high for the Diamondbacks. He's batting .271 and slugging .413.
- Including all the qualified players in MLB, his batting average puts him 52nd, his on-base percentage ranks 21st, and he is 91st in slugging.
- Josh Naylor's .469 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .299 with an on-base percentage of .358.
- Including all qualifying hitters, he is 10th in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage and 43rd in slugging percentage.
- Eugenio Suarez has 17 doubles, 28 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .252.
- Corbin Carroll has 75 hits to lead his team.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Head to Head
- 7/7/2025: 6-3 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 6/15/2025: 8-2 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 6/14/2025: 8-7 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -168, Underdog Moneyline: +142)
- 6/13/2025: 5-1 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 9/29/2024: 11-2 ARI (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
- 9/28/2024: 5-0 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -220, Underdog Moneyline: +184)
- 9/27/2024: 5-3 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 7/7/2024: 9-1 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -174, Underdog Moneyline: +146)
- 7/6/2024: 7-5 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
- 7/5/2024: 10-8 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
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