Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 6

Odds updated as of 5:12 a.m.

On Monday in MLB, the San Diego Padres are playing the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres (44-45) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (44-45)
• Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Petco Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: Fox Sports 1, Padres.TV, and Dbacks.TV

Padres vs Diamondbacks Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-112) | ARI: (-104)
• Spread: SD: +1.5 (-184) | ARI: -1.5 (+152)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

Padres vs Diamondbacks Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Walker Buehler (Padres) - 5-4, 4.61 ERA vs Brandon Pfaadt (Diamondbacks) - 1-1, 5.40 ERA

The probable starters are Walker Buehler (5-4) for the Padres and Brandon Pfaadt (1-1) for the Diamondbacks. Buehler's team is 12-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season. When Buehler starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-2. The Diamondbacks covered in each of Pfaadt's four starts with a set spread. The Diamondbacks were the underdog on the moneyline for one Pfaadt start this season -- they lost.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (57%)

Padres vs Diamondbacks Moneyline

• The Padres vs Diamondbacks moneyline has San Diego as a -112 favorite, while Arizona is a -104 underdog on the road.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Spread

• The Diamondbacks are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Padres. The Diamondbacks are +152 to cover, while the Padres are -184 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Over/Under

• Padres versus Diamondbacks on July 6 has an over/under of 8.5 runs, with the odds on the over -112 and the under set at -108.

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Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends

• The Padres have been chosen as favorites in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (54.5%) in those games.
• San Diego has a record of 18-15 when favored by -112 or more this year.
• The Padres' games have gone over the total in 39 of their 89 opportunities.
• The Padres are 48-41-0 against the spread in their 89 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Diamondbacks have won 36.2% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (17-30).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer, Arizona has a 14-30 record (winning just 31.8% of its games).
• The Diamondbacks have combined with opponents to go over the total 37 times this season for a 37-48-3 record against the over/under.
• The Diamondbacks have a 47-41-0 record ATS this season.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado is batting .189 with 16 doubles, 18 home runs and 43 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .282 while slugging .410.
• He is 153rd in batting average, 147th in on-base percentage, and 96th in slugging among all qualifying hitters in baseball.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the Padres with an OPS of .731. He has a slash line of .284/.345/.386 this season.
• Among all qualified, he is 26th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 110th in slugging percentage.
• Tatis enters this game looking to extend his two-game hit streak. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Gavin Sheets leads San Diego in total hits (61) this season, and 29 of those have gone for extra bases.
• Sheets heads into this matchup with six games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .323 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and six RBIs.
• Xander Bogaerts has eight home runs, 33 RBI and a batting average of .231 this season.

Diamondbacks Player Leaders

• Ketel Marte has put up a team-high .481 slugging percentage. He's batting .267 with an on-base percentage of .324.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average is 53rd, his on-base percentage ranks 87th, and he is 34th in slugging.
• Corbin Carroll has collected 85 hits with a .356 OBP to lead his team in both. He has a batting average of .266 while slugging .506.
• Including all qualified hitters, his batting average puts him 56th, his on-base percentage ranks 42nd, and he is 20th in slugging.
• Geraldo Perdomo has 13 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 52 walks while hitting .243.
• Ildemaro Vargas has 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .261.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Head to Head

• 4/26/2026: 12-7 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 15, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 4/25/2026: 6-4 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 16, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/28/2025: 12-4 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 9/27/2025: 5-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/26/2025: 7-4 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 8/6/2025: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/5/2025: 10-5 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 8/4/2025: 6-2 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/10/2025: 4-3 SD (Favorite: Diamondbacks, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 7/9/2025: 8-2 ARI (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)

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