Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 5:13 a.m.

The San Diego Padres are among the MLB teams playing on Saturday, versus the Toronto Blue Jays.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this matchup.

Padres vs Blue Jays Game Info

• San Diego Padres (46-48) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (45-49)
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Petco Park -- San Diego, California
• Coverage: Padres.TV and SNET

Padres vs Blue Jays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: SD: (-116) | TOR: (-102)
• Spread: SD: +1.5 (-194) | TOR: -1.5 (+160)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)

Padres vs Blue Jays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Walker Buehler (Padres) - 5-5, 5.07 ERA vs Trey Yesavage (Blue Jays) - 4-4, 3.31 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Padres will send Walker Buehler (5-5) to the mound, while Trey Yesavage (4-4) will take the ball for the Blue Jays. Buehler's team is 12-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Buehler's team has won 57.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-3). When Yesavage starts, the Blue Jays have gone 4-8-0 against the spread. The Blue Jays are 1-2 in Yesavage's three starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (50.1%)

Padres vs Blue Jays Moneyline

• San Diego is the favorite, -116 on the moneyline, while Toronto is a -102 underdog on the road.

Padres vs Blue Jays Spread

• The Blue Jays are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Padres. The Blue Jays are +160 to cover, while the Padres are -194 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.

Padres vs Blue Jays Over/Under

• The over/under for the Padres versus Blue Jays game on July 11 has been set at 8, with -106 odds on the over and -114 odds on the under.

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Padres vs Blue Jays Betting Trends

• The Padres have been chosen as favorites in 38 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (52.6%) in those games.
• San Diego has a record of 20-16 in contests when oddsmakers favor them by -116 or more on the moneyline.
• The Padres and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 94 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 94 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 50-44-0 against the spread.
• The Blue Jays have won 35% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (14-26).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, Toronto has a record of 11-21 (34.4%).
• The Blue Jays have played in 93 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 49 times (49-43-1).
• The Blue Jays have covered 48.4% of their games this season, going 45-48-0 against the spread.

Padres Player Leaders

• Manny Machado has 16 doubles, 19 home runs and 44 walks while batting .196. He has an on-base percentage of .287 and a slugging percentage of .417.
• Among all qualified batters in MLB, he ranks 149th in batting average, 139th in on-base percentage, and 85th in slugging.
• Machado hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with two home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the Padres with an OPS of .723. He has a slash line of .282/.342/.381 this season.
• He ranks 32nd in batting average, 58th in on-base percentage and 114th in slugging among qualified hitters.
• Tatis brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double and an RBI.
• Gavin Sheets has 62 hits and is batting .225 this season.
• Xander Bogaerts has been key for San Diego with 70 hits, an OBP of .314 plus a slugging percentage of .334.

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has accumulated a team-best .345 on-base percentage. He's batting .262 and slugging .351.
• Including all qualified hitters in the big leagues, he is 64th in batting average, 52nd in on-base percentage and 131st in slugging percentage.
• Guerrero hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Ernie Clement paces his team with a .430 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .298 with an on-base percentage of .319.
• His batting average ranks 13th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 98th, and he is 75th in slugging.
• Kazuma Okamoto has 79 hits, a team-high for the Blue Jays.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .243 with 16 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 25 walks.

Padres vs Blue Jays Head to Head

• 7/10/2026: 5-3 TOR (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 5/22/2025: 7-6 TOR (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 5/21/2025: 14-0 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 5/20/2025: 3-0 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -108, Underdog Moneyline: -108)
• 4/21/2024: 6-3 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 4/20/2024: 5-2 TOR (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 4/19/2024: 5-1 TOR (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 7/20/2023: 4-0 TOR (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 7/19/2023: 2-0 SD (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/18/2023: 9-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)

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