Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Odds Prediction, Spread, Tip Off Time, Best Bets for February 29

Nuggets vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Thursday, February 29, 2024
• Time: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
• Coverage: TNT

The Denver Nuggets (40-19) bring a four-game win streak into a home matchup with the Miami Heat (33-25), who have won five straight. The Nuggets are favorites (-6) in the contest, which tips at 10:00 PM ET (on TNT) on Thursday, February 29, 2024. The matchup has an over/under set at 214.5 points.

Nuggets vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Nuggets win (65.6%)

Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Nuggets have covered the spread 26 times in 59 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 29-27-2 this season.
• This season, 22 of the Nuggets' games have gone over the point total out of 58 chances.
• The Heat have eclipsed the over/under 37.9% of the time this year (22 of 58 games with a set point total).
• Denver has done a better job covering the spread at home (14-13-1) than it has in road tilts (12-19-0).
• The Nuggets have hit the over on the total in 11 of 28 home games (39.3%), compared to 11 of 31 road games (35.5%).
• In 2023-24 against the spread, Miami has a lower winning percentage at home (.429, 12-16-0 record) than away (.567, 17-11-2).
• In 2023-24, a higher percentage of the Heat's games have finished above the over/under at home (46.4%, 13 of 28) compared to away (30%, nine of 30).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.9 points, 9.3 assists and 12.3 rebounds.
• Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.2 points, 7 boards and 1.4 assists, shooting 47.3% from the field and 39% from beyond the arc, with 2.7 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jamal Murray is averaging 20.9 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Aaron Gordon's numbers on the season are 13.9 points, 6.5 boards and 3.2 assists per contest, shooting 55.6% from the floor.
• Reggie Jackson averages 10.6 points, 2 rebounds and 3.9 assists, shooting 45.2% from the field and 36.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 made treys per contest.

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo averages 20.3 points for the Heat, plus 10.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists.
• The Heat are receiving 21.5 points, 5.5 boards and 4.7 assists per game from Jimmy Butler.
• Jaime Jaquez averages 12.9 points, 3.9 boards and 2.6 assists. He is making 49.4% of his shots from the floor.
• The Heat are getting 23.2 points, 3.9 boards and 6.6 assists per game from Terry Rozier.
• The Heat receive 13.3 points per game from Duncan Robinson, plus 2.4 rebounds and 3 assists.

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