NHL Betting Picks for Thursday 5/16/24: Can the Oilers Take the Series Lead on the Road?

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
NHL Betting Picks for Thursday 5/16/24: Can the Oilers Take the Series Lead on the Road?

No series in the second round has been completed yet, so we still have two games tonight to sink our teeth into.

Whether it's moneylines or total goals, there are plenty of ways to bet on the NHL action all season. The playoffs can be tough to predict, but we should be able to find some markets that we like at the most exciting time of the year.

Let's dive into the best bets for tonight.

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All NHL betting odds and totals are from the NHL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. All advanced statistics are used from MoneyPuck.com and NaturalStatTrick.com.

NHL Best Bets

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

Over 5.5 Goals (+100)

The Carolina Hurricanes were able to find a win in Game 5 on Monday, and now this series moves back to Raleigh for Game 6.

We tried the over on Monday's game in this series, and it didn't work out. There was only one goal scored through the first two periods, and it ended up coming up just short in a 4-1 game.

We'll go back to it tonight, however, and we're getting a better price on it. Three of the five games have had seven goals, so we do have some precedent for both of these teams to combine for some goals.

The expected goals (xG) also tell an interesting story in this series. In those two games that failed to exceed the total, they had an xG of 7.92 and 6.03, respectively.

The New York Rangers have failed to score a power-play goal in the last three games after scoring four in the first two games of this series. Their PP ranked third in the regular season at a 26.4% success rate and has been even better in the playoffs at a 30.3% rate. If they can get this back on track, it will help this game go over the total.

Getting even money on this bet, I'd lean towards the over in this game.

Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

Oilers Moneyline (-142)

The Edmonton Oilers evened up the series on Tuesday with a win. This series has been closer than anticipated, but the Oilers should be able to close things out from here.

Edmonton has dominated the shot count in every game in this series after Game 1. In the last three games, the shot total is 106-58 in their favor.

The thing that was sinking the Oilers was goaltending. Stuart Skinner has allowed 4.6 goals above expected in the playoffs, the second-most in the league. Calvin Pickard has allowed 0.04 goals above expected, but that's all the Oilers need in this series -- a goalie who will give them a chance to stay in the game.

It's concerning for the Vancouver Canucks that Elias Pettersson hasn't performed well in the playoffs. He has just one goal and four points in 10 playoff games. The Canucks are having trouble generating chances in this series, and one of their best players misfiring does not bode well for them in the future.

If Pickard can keep up his play to even just being average, the Oilers should be able to win this game and do enough to win this round.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.