NHL Betting Picks for Monday 5/13/24: Can Colorado Even the Series?

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
NHL Betting Picks for Monday 5/13/24: Can Colorado Even the Series?

Two games on Monday, both with a lot on the line for all of the teams involved.

Whether it's moneylines or total goals, there are plenty of ways to bet on the NHL action all season. The playoffs can be tough to predict, but we should be able to find some bets

Let's dive into the best bets for tonight.

Note: Lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All NHL betting odds and totals are from the NHL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. All advanced statistics are used from MoneyPuck.com and NaturalStatTrick.com.

NHL Best Bets

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

Over 5.5 Goals (-108)

The Carolina Hurricanes and New York Rangers will play Game 5 on Monday back in New York, and we could see some goals.

In the four games these teams have played in this series, three of them have gone over this total. In fact, those three have all been 4-3 games, so we had a goal of buffer room to get over this total. Even in the game that went under this total, Game 3, saw a combined 7.92 expected goals (xG).

The Hurricanes finally got off the schneid and scored a power-play goal at the end of Game 4. Their lack of power-play success in the first three games was a major storyline in this series after having not scored in 15 opportunities. They had the second-best power play during the regular season, so if this sparks them back to life, we could see them score again.

The Rangers' power play scored two goals in each of the first two games and hasn't scored since. They had the third best power play in the regular season, and have scored on 33.3% of their power plays in the postseason.

I like this game to go over the 5.5-goal total, and we don't have to lay a huge price on this bet.

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

Avalanche Moneyline (-142)

The Dallas Stars won on Saturday night to take a 2-1 series lead against the Colorado Avalanche. This series has been as advertised -- a matchup between two heavyweights that has seen twists and turns already.

The only game Colorado was able to win in this series was Game 1. They weren't perfect in that game, falling behind 3-0 before coming back and winning in overtime. They've obviously lost the next two games after that, but the underlying data looks strong.

The Avalanche have been able to outplay the Stars at five-on-five in this series so far. The xG when both teams are at full strength in this series is 6.15 to 4.26 in Colorado's favor, adjusted for venue and score effects. The Avs have also come out ahead in every individual game in this series.

What hasn't worked for Colorado in their two losses is their power play. They've failed to score in six opportunities in the last two games. They also allowed a shorthanded goal in Game 2, making all the difference in a one-goal game.

They could get a boost on the power play tonight with Jonathan Drouin looking set to return. Normally, a player like Drouin is not a huge needle-mover, but in the playoffs, the margins are tight. Giving Colorado back their fourth-leading scorer should help them, and he could play on a first power-play unit that might need to try something different tonight.

Colorado's 31 home wins were the most in the regular season, so with their home-ice advantage, I like them to tie this series tonight.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.