NFL Win Totals: Will the Packers Notch 10 Wins in 2024?

Annie Nader
Annie Nader@ANader33
NFL Win Totals: Will the Packers Notch 10 Wins in 2024?

Following the departure of Aaron Rodgers, the Green Bay Packers' rebuilding era turned out to be nonexistent.

Last season, the Pack managed a 9-8 record and toppled the Dallas Cowboys in the NFC Wild Card game before falling to the top-seeded San Francisco 49ers in heartbreaking fashion.

Jordan Love shined in his first season as a full-time starter, particularly during the back end of the year. In the final eight games of the regular season, Green Bay went 6-2 and Love threw a whopping 18 touchdown passes to just one interception.

Heading into the upcoming season, the youngest team in the NFL is stamped with high expectations despite being entrenched in what could be a cutthroat NFC North division. Nonetheless, this team certainly has the talent to make some noise.

FanDuel Sportsbook has NFL win totals available for each team, so let's check out Green Bay's odds and see why they could amass over or under 9.5 wins this year.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.

Green Bay Packers 2024 Win Total Odds

Packers Over/Under 9.5 Wins

  • Over: -138
  • Under: +112

Odds to Make the Playoffs: -164
Odds to Win the NFC North: +195 (2nd-best)
Odds to Win the NFC: +800 (tied for 4th-best)
Super Bowl Odds: +1900 (10th-best)

Key Offseason Coaching Changes:

  • Jeff Hafley replacing Joe Barry at Defensive Coordinator

Why Green Bay Could Win Over 9.5 Games

  • Jordan Love picks up right where he left off
  • Josh Jacobs and young receiving threats could prove lethal
  • New DC Jeff Hafley helps improve the defense

If Jordan Love's play in the second half of the 2023-2024 season is an indication of what kind of QB we will see this year, the Packers should have one of the most booming offenses in the league.

From Week 11 of last season and onward -- the same timeframe in which Love threw 18 touchdown passes to just one interception -- Love led all signal-callers with 0.23 expected points added per drop back.

His first season as Green Bay's main guy was capped off with a scorching performance in the NFC Wild Card game and an exit in the Divisional Round.

Green Bay's young receiving core creates flexibility and room for improvement, and the team turned in Aaron Jones for Josh Jacobs, who was inked to a four-year, $48 million deal in the offseason.

Jacobs is off the heels of a sour season with a muddled Las Vegas Raiders group, but an organized Packers offense could bring out the best of the 2022 NFL rushing yards leader.

Green Bay's defense is a sorer subject. They ended the regular season with the 21st-ranked pass defense and 26th-ranked rush defense, good for the 23rd-ranked schedule-adjusted defense.

They've brought in safety Xavier McKinney, who was signed to a four-year, $67 million contract in the offseason, and hired a new defensive coordinator in Jeff Hafley. The Pack also dedicated their two second-round picks in this year's NFL Draft toward supplementing the defense, selecting linebacker Edgerrin Cooper and safety Javon Bullard.

Last year, Green Bay managed nine wins despite heading into Week 11 with a 3-6 record. A medley of offensive young guns paired with a defense that seems primed to improve could certainly be grounds for 10-plus wins.

Why Green Bay Could Win Under 9.5 Games

  • Jordan Love has a sophomore slump
  • The NFC North is a daunting division
  • The jury is still out on whether the defense can improve

Jordan Love has established himself as a headliner, but can he keep it up this go-around?

After a somewhat streaky start last season, Love's high potential was quickly realized. But we've seen only one season with him as the leading man, so we may need a longer sample to pen him as a surefire signal-caller.

It's hard to have doubts about Love after watching him navigate the tail-end of last season, but notching 10 wins isn't a small task for a second-year starter.

The NFC North is not a roll-over-and-die division. The Detroit Lions are one of the best teams in the league and come in as +135 favorites to win the division. Plus, the Chicago Bears have intriguing potential after winning the Caleb Williams lottery and making a flurry of offseason moves, and the Minnesota Vikings, while underwhelming, should still manage to compete at some level.

FanDuel Research's Jim Sannes has Green Bay as the biggest winner of the NFL schedule release, with their path bumping his expected win total for the Pack by 0.09 wins.

With that being said, Green Bay will play teams with an average win total of 8.68 (eighth-highest) and will play just two games against bottom-eight opponents.

The Packers are just one of four teams that will get only two nods against bottom-eight opponents. Overall, 10 teams will play five games in this split (most) while some teams will receive up to eight games against bottom-eight opponents.

So while the schedule release does slightly favor the Pack, as they'll meet up with plenty of average teams, some of which will be under advantageous circumstances, these games could end up going either way.

Green Bay's defense looks to be in store for some slight but important improvements, but we have seen new DC hires backfire a myriad of times.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.