NFL Win Totals: Will the Eagles Fly Past a 10.5-Win Total?

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8

Following a 4-11-1 season in 2020, the Philadelphia Eagles have earned postseason appearances in three consecutive seasons. Last year's Wild Card loss was a far cry from losing Super Bowl 57 in 2022. Will Philadelphia return to being one of the NFC's best teams?

The Eagles are currently carrying the shortest odds to win the NFC East (+100) when looking at FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL divisional odds. Philly is also -215 to make the playoffs in the upcoming season.

Each line suggests the Eagles should be in store for another winning season with a double-digit win mark. FanDuel's NFL win totals odds has Philadelphia at 10.5 wins. Will the Eagles go over or under 10.5 wins? Let's jump into the evidence for each side.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, and they may change after the article is published.

Philadelphia Eagles 2024 Win Total Odds

Eagles Over/Under 10.5 Wins

  • Over: -104
  • Under: -118

Odds to Make the Playoffs: -215
Odds to Win the NFC East: +100
Odds to Win the NFC: +650 (3rd)
Super Bowl Odds: +1400 (tied for 5th)

Key Offseason Coaching Changes:

  • Doug Nussmeier hired as Quarterbacks Coach
  • Christian Parker hired as Pass Game Coordinator/Defensive Backs Coach
  • Clint Hurtt hired as Defensive Line Coach
  • Bobby King hired as Inside Linebackers Coach
  • Roy Anderson hired as Cornerbacks Coach
  • Joe Kasper hired as Safeties Coach
  • Kellen Moore replaces Brian Johnson as Offensive Coordinator
  • Vic Fangio replaces Sean Desai as Defensive Coordinator

Why Eagles Could Win Over 10.5 Games

  • Wholesale Changes Made to Defensive Coaching Staff
  • Saquon Barkley Added to the Run Game
  • Promising Additions to Defense

Perhaps the Eagles' biggest problem in the 2023 season was the defense's downfall. In 2022, Philadelphia gave up the fewest yards per game and seventh-fewest points each contest. Last season, the Birds allowed the third-most points and seventh-most yards per game.

The defense pretty much declined in every stat across the board. The cornerback play from Darius Slay and James Bradberry fell off a cliff, and the pass-rushing production wasn't nearly on the same level. For example, the Eagles finished with the third-most sacks for a single season in NFL history with 70.0 in 2022, which was followed by only 43.0 last season. Bradberry's Pro Football Focus (PFF) score went from 74.1 in 2022 to 56.6 last season.

Philadelphia was very aggressive in addressing the defense. As you can see from the coaching changes, the Birds essentially made changes to the entire defensive staff. The big addition was bringing in Vic Fangio as defensive coordinator. He's been labeled as one of the league's brightest defensive minds for years as he's influenced many with his two-high shells (two safeties) that are loaded with disguises whether it be blitzes or coverages.

We should also highlight Kellen Moore hired as offensive coordinator. He led many successful units with the Dallas Cowboys from 2019 to 2022, which included three top-six scoring units.

The defense made some promising additions, including linebacker Devin White, edge rusher Bryce Huff, and safety Chauncey Gardner-Johnson. The 2024 draft class wasn't too shabby either as Philly selected Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean with their first two picks. Per FanDuel's NFL award odds, Mitchell is tied for the fourth-shortest odds to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+1200).

Perhaps the biggest free agency addition was Saquon Barkley. While his 2023 season didn't match up to 2022's 1,312 rushing yards, Barkley is still one of the game's best running backs when healthy. The Eagles haven't had a running back of this caliber since LeSean McCoy from 2009 to 2014.

Philly made some strong additions in the offseason, and considering their recent seasons, reaching 10.5 games feels very obtainable. The -104 odds only sweetens the deal. The Eagles have the ninth-easiest schedule, according to Sharp Football Analysis. A big improvement from the defense should be expected, which could be more than enough for the over.

Why Eagles Could Win Under 10.5 Games

  • Will Linebackers Remain a Weakness?
  • Relying On Youth at Cornerback
  • Jalen Hurts' Turnover Woes in 2023

Not everything is sunshine and rainbows for this franchise, though. We can still highlight some real concerns on the defensive side of the ball.

This starts with the inside linebacker positions. The roster is still loaded with front seven talent, from Jalen Carter and Bryce Huff to Josh Sweat and Jordan Davis. If there's one spot to pick on in the front seven, it's the inside linebackers.

This has been a hole for a couple of years, even in 2022's exceptional defensive unit. Nakobe Dean will likely step into a bigger role, but he has only four career starts over two years. Devin White was a promising addition, but his play hasn't been that good. White has been consistently glorified for his eye-catching speed, but he's touted PFF grades of under 50.0 in four straight seasons.

If there's a hole that teams can pick on, it's most certainly inside linebacker.

Cornerback could be another problem spot mainly due to the unit's youth. As previously mentioned, Quinyon Mitchell is drawing some interest for Defensive Rookie of the Year. Still, no rookie is ever a layup to perform. And, if Mitchell does not start, Bradberry as a starter is far from promising following last year's performance.

Finally, Jalen Hurts regressed in 2023 compared to his 2022 campaign. This wasn't due to a decrease in stats. In fact, Hurts had a career-high 3,858 passing yards in 2023. However, the turnovers were a head-scratching problem. Hurts threw 15 interceptions; before 2023, he never reached double-digit interceptions.

The Eagles had the third-fewest giveaways per game in 2022, which rose to being tied for the seventh-most last season. Controlling the turnover battle is always a big key in the NFL, and Philadelphia struggled in the category partially due to Hurts' turnover woes.

While these are some understanding concerns, going over 10.5 wins for the Eagles still seems like the best side. The odds are promising, and Philly is gearing up to be the top squad in the NFC East. The Dallas Cowboys took a step backwards in the offseason while the Eagles underwent much-needed changes on defense. With an improved defense, Philadelphia totaling 11 wins is a solid bet.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.