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NFL Week 7 Spread and Total Predictions for Every Game
In the NFL, you're never lacking in prediction models to try to give you an idea of what to expect in a given week, whether those models are for betting or other purposes.
Below, we're going to run through what my spread and total models say about Week 7's NFL games.
As a disclaimer, this is my own, personal betting model. I'll lay out which bets I'm willing to make based on it compared to FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL betting odds, but as always, you'll have to decide for yourself whether there's enough value for you to the plunge, as well.
The spread model is largely based on numberFire's Net Expected Points (NEP) model, which is their version of EPA. The totals model factors in things such as pace and wind speed, as well. Numbers are manually edited to reflect the players who are expected to play in a given game.
Without further ado, here's what I've got for this upcoming slate of games.
NFL Week 7 Predictions
Steelers at Bengals Prediction
Spread Prediction: Steelers -6.7
Total Prediction: 44.2
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Rams at Jaguars Prediction
Spread Prediction: Rams -4.4
Total Prediction: 45.0
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Eagles at Vikings Prediction
Spread Prediction: Vikings -1.2
Total Prediction: 43.2
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Thoughts: This number assumes J.J. McCarthy starts for the Minnesota Vikings, and based on Kevin O'Connell's press conference Monday, I'm not sure that happens. With Carson Wentz also banged up, there's a chance Max Brosmer starts, so I will not bet the Vikings until we get more clarity at quarterback.
Raiders at Chiefs Prediction
Spread Prediction: Chiefs -11.2
Total Prediction: 48.6
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Thoughts: Willing to bet the over here as I think the Kansas City Chiefs' offense could light it up with Rashee Rice back.
Saints at Bears Prediction
Spread Prediction: Bears -4.9
Total Prediction: 43.2
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Thoughts: Current forecast calls for 14 mph winds, which is why I am willing to bet the under.
Dolphins at Browns Prediction
Spread Prediction: Dolphins -1.8
Total Prediction: 38.4
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Thoughts: Betting the Miami Dolphins makes me want to yarf, but getting +134 on the moneyline against Dillon Gabriel is too big to ignore.
Panthers at Jets Prediction
Spread Prediction: Panthers -0.3
Total Prediction: 41.5
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Patriots at Titans Prediction
Spread Prediction: Patriots -6.0
Total Prediction: 40.9
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Colts at Chargers Prediction
Spread Prediction: Chargers -0.2
Total Prediction: 47.2
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Giants at Broncos Prediction
Spread Prediction: Broncos -8.6
Total Prediction: 44.8
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Thoughts: The Denver Broncos' defense has neutralized rushing quarterbacks, which is concerning for the New York Giants. Still, I think the Broncos will move the ball here, so I agree with the value the model is showing in the over.
Commanders at Cowboys Prediction
Spread Prediction: Commanders -0.7
Total Prediction: 52.5
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Packers at Cardinals Prediction
Spread Prediction: Packers -7.6
Total Prediction: 49.0
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Thoughts: Even assuming Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. sit, I have too much faith in this Green Bay Packers offense to ignore the value I'm showing in the over.
Falcons at 49ers Prediction
Spread Prediction: 49ers -1.9
Total Prediction: 45.1
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Thoughts: May give the San Francisco 49ers' offense a bump depending on injury news later in the week, so ignoring the value I see in the under for now.
Buccaneers at Lions Prediction
Spread Prediction: Lions -4.4
Total Prediction: 52.8
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Texans at Seahawks Prediction
Spread Prediction: Seahawks -1.0
Total Prediction: 44.3
Betting Odds
Moneyline
Spread
Total Match Points
Thoughts: Showing value in both the Houston Texans and the over. I prefer the over between the two because it gives me exposure to a Seattle Seahawks offense that is playing good football right now.
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Which Week 7 bets stand out to you? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NFL betting odds to see the full menu of options.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.
