New Zealand ML

+1300

Draw +600 · O/U 3.5 Over +124

Belgium MUST WIN · Doku returns · Lukaku -120 leader

Belgium ML

-550

Anytime goalscorer pays out if the named player scores at any point in 90 minutes + stoppage time. Belgium's scoring drought (1 goal in 2 games — actually an own goal) should end tonight against NZ, who have no clean sheet in 13 straight games. Lukaku at -120 is the anchor. De Bruyne at +165 is the SBR value pick. Doku at ~+190 is conditional — confirm the official XI first. NZ scorers (Wood +425, Just +800) play the BTTS scenario (62% probability per WhoScored). ⚠️ Confirm Doku's fitness in official lineup before betting.

Squawka: "Lukaku is the shortest price in the goalscorer market at -120." Sports Interaction: "Lukaku is set to score his first goal of the tournament anytime here at -150." Sportsgambler: "Romelu Lukaku available at -159 — there's value in the odds that he finds the net at least once." Belgium's all-time top scorer with 90 international goals has been blanked in two games but now faces the worst clean-sheet record in the tournament. Against NZ's defence, Lukaku's physical presence and finishing quality should finally pay off. $10→$18.33.

Lukaku -120 — market leader. 90 intl goals. 0 this WC. NZ 0 clean sheets in 13. $10→$18.33.

FOX confirms +165 FD. SBR: "De Bruyne is the only Belgian player who has consistently attacked the net in the first two matches — he has nine total shots and a shot on goal in each game. What I also love about this matchup is that New Zealand has allowed two goals to midfielders at this World Cup." Kalshi makes De Bruyne their explicit scorer pick at +177. He inherits the space at the top of the penalty area when opposing blocks drop deep. With Doku returning to stretch NZ, De Bruyne will have even more central space. $10→$26.50.

De Bruyne +165 — FOX confirmed, SBR explicit. 9 shots in 2 games. NZ allows goals to midfielders. $10→$26.50.

Jeremy Doku is listed as Questionable — missed the Iran game with illness, then flew home to Belgium for the birth of his first child. He has returned to training but fitness/game time uncertain. Covers/CBS list him as Questionable; Racing Post projects him in the XI. Racing Post: "Belgian flyer Jeremy Doku has bagged five goals for Manchester City since mid-April and can take one of the many chances that he can create for himself." Do not place Doku anytime scorer bets until official lineup is confirmed ~75 minutes before kickoff. If he starts, +190 is a strong play vs NZ's left back Cacace who faces limited exposure to elite wide forwards at this level.