Nationals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 3

Odds updated as of 6:13 p.m.

The Washington Nationals are among the MLB teams busy on Friday, versus the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Before you do any MLB betting on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Nationals vs Pirates Game Info

• Washington Nationals (45-43) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (44-44)
• Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
• Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
• Venue: Nationals Park -- Washington, District of Columbia
• Coverage: Nationals.TV and SportsNet PT

Nationals vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: WSH: (-148) | PIT: (+126)
• Spread: WSH: -1.5 (+138) | PIT: +1.5 (-166)
• Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Nationals vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Foster Griffin (Nationals) - 8-2, 2.93 ERA vs Mitch Keller (Pirates) - 6-5, 4.87 ERA

The Nationals will give the nod to Foster Griffin (8-2, 2.93 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 9 on the season, and the Pirates will turn to Mitch Keller (6-5, 4.87 ERA). Griffin and his team have a record of 10-6-0 against the spread when he starts. Griffin's team won his only start as a favorite this season. The Pirates have an 8-8-0 record against the spread in Keller's starts. The Pirates are 5-6 in Keller's 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Nationals vs Pirates Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Pirates win (54%)

Nationals vs Pirates Moneyline

• Pittsburgh is the underdog, +126 on the moneyline, while Washington is a -148 favorite at home.

Nationals vs Pirates Spread

• The Pirates are +1.5 on the spread (-166 to cover), and Washington is +138 to cover the runline.

Nationals vs Pirates Over/Under

• The Nationals-Pirates contest on July 3 has been given an over/under of 9.5 runs. The over is set at -120 and the under at -102.

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Nationals vs Pirates Betting Trends

• The Nationals have come away with four wins in the nine contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• These are the best odds of a victory sportsbooks have given Washington this season, with a -148 moneyline set for this game.
• The Nationals and their opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 86 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Nationals are 51-35-0 against the spread in their 86 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Pirates have put together a 16-22 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 42.1% of those games).
• Pittsburgh is 4-7 (winning only 36.4% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +126 or longer.
• The Pirates have combined with opponents to go over the total 50 times this season for a 50-35-2 record against the over/under.
• The Pirates have covered 49.4% of their games this season, going 43-44-0 ATS.

Nationals Player Leaders

• James Wood leads Washington with an OBP of .389, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .522. He's batting .265 on the season.
• Among qualifying hitters in baseball, he is 60th in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
• Wood has picked up at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, two home runs, five walks and six RBIs.
• C.J. Abrams is hitting .273 with 16 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 31 walks, while slugging .511 with an on-base percentage of .355.
• Among qualifiers, he ranks 43rd in batting average, 43rd in on-base percentage and 21st in slugging percentage.
• Abrams has picked up at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .095 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Luis Garcia leads Washington with 75 hits. He is batting .280 this season and 34 of his hits have gone for extra bases.
• Garcia takes a five-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .500 with three doubles, three home runs, a walk and 10 RBIs.
• Daylen Lile has been key for Washington with 84 hits, an OBP of .304 plus a slugging percentage of .396.
• Lile has safely hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with two doubles and an RBI.

Pirates Player Leaders

• Bryan Reynolds a has .395 on-base percentage to pace the Pirates. He's batting .280 while slugging .459.
• Including all qualifying hitters in the majors, he is 31st in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage and 53rd in slugging percentage.
• Brandon Lowe has collected 77 hits to lead his team. He has a batting average of .243 while slugging .498 with an on-base percentage of .319.
• His batting average is 100th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 103rd, and he is 23rd in slugging.
• Ryan O'Hearn has 12 doubles, 13 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .285.
• Nick Gonzales' .387 slugging percentage paces his team.

Nationals vs Pirates Head to Head

• 4/16/2026: 8-7 WSH (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 4/15/2026: 2-0 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
• 4/14/2026: 5-4 WSH (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
• 4/13/2026: 16-5 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -225, Underdog Moneyline: +188)
• 9/14/2025: 4-3 WSH (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
• 9/13/2025: 5-1 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/12/2025: 6-5 WSH (Favorite: Nationals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 4/17/2025: 1-0 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 4/16/2025: 6-1 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 4/15/2025: 3-0 WSH (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)

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