Braves vs Mets Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 3

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.
On Friday in MLB, the Atlanta Braves are up against the New York Mets.
All the information you need to make smart bets on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook can be found below. Check out all of the latest MLB betting lines here.
Braves vs Mets Game Info
- Atlanta Braves (50-35) vs. New York Mets (36-51)
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: Truist Park -- Atlanta, Georgia
- Coverage: BravesVsn and WPIX
Braves vs Mets Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: ATL: (-116) | NYM: (-102)
- Spread: ATL: +1.5 (-182) | NYM: -1.5 (+150)
- Total: 9.5 -- Over: (+100) | Under: (-122)
Braves vs Mets Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Grant Holmes (Braves) - 4-4, 3.96 ERA vs Christian Scott (Mets) - 2-0, 3.20 ERA
The probable starters are Grant Holmes (4-4) for the Braves and Christian Scott (2-0) for the Mets. Holmes' team is 9-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season. When Holmes starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 9-4. The Mets are 6-4-0 ATS in Scott's 10 starts with a set spread. The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for two Scott starts this season -- they split the games.
Braves vs Mets Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Braves win (56.7%)
Braves vs Mets Moneyline
- Looking at the moneyline for Mets-Braves, New York is the underdog at -102, and Atlanta is -116 playing at home.
Braves vs Mets Spread
- The Mets are 1.5-run favorites against the spread for this matchup with the Braves. The Mets are +150 to cover, while the Braves are -182 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.
Braves vs Mets Over/Under
- A combined run total of 9.5 has been set for Braves-Mets on July 3, with the over at +100 and the under at -122.
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Braves vs Mets Betting Trends
- The Braves have been favorites in 64 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (64.1%) in those contests.
- This season Atlanta has come away with a win 38 times in 60 chances when named as a favorite of at least -116 on the moneyline.
- The Braves and their opponents have gone over in 38 of their 83 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Braves have an against the spread record of 44-39-0 in 83 games with a line this season.
- The Mets have a 6-23 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20.7% of those games).
- New York has a 5-16 record (winning just 23.8% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of -102 or longer.
- The Mets have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 86 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 39 of those games (39-41-6).
- The Mets have covered 43% of their games this season, going 37-49-0 against the spread.
Braves Player Leaders
- Matt Olson leads Atlanta with 89 hits and an OBP of .341, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .518. He's batting .270.
- He ranks 48th in batting average, 59th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging among all qualified hitters in baseball.
- Ozzie Albies has an OPS of .762, fueled by an OBP of .323 and a team-best slugging percentage of .439 this season. He's batting .273.
- Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 43rd, his on-base percentage 89th, and his slugging percentage 67th.
- Mauricio Dubon has collected 81 base hits, an OBP of .323 and a slugging percentage of .419 this season.
- Michael Harris II is batting .293 with a .328 OBP and 44 RBI for Atlanta this season.
- Harris heads into this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .118 with three walks and two RBIs.
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto has put up a team-best OBP (.403), and leads the Mets in hits (71). He's batting .293 and slugging.
- He is 14th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters in the majors.
- Bo Bichette leads his team with a .379 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .250 with an on-base percentage of .296.
- Including all qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 84th, his on-base percentage is 138th, and he is 117th in slugging.
- Carson Benge is hitting .259 with 11 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 23 walks.
- Mark Vientos is batting .209 with nine doubles, 10 home runs and 11 walks.
Braves vs Mets Head to Head
- 6/14/2026: 8-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 6/13/2026: 3-1 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
- 8/24/2025: 4-3 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 8/23/2025: 9-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 8/22/2025: 12-7 NYM (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 8/14/2025: 4-3 ATL (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -190, Underdog Moneyline: +160)
- 8/12/2025: 13-5 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 6/26/2025: 4-0 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: -100)
- 6/25/2025: 7-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
- 6/24/2025: 7-4 ATL (Favorite: Braves, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
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