MLB

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Wednesday 5/15/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Wednesday 5/15/24

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

Taj Bradley to Record 5+ Strikeouts (-290)
Tanner Houck Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-160)
Alternate Total Runs: Under 8.5 (-122)

Combined Odds: +234

Taj Bradley made his first start of the season for the Tampa Bay Rays last time out, and it was an impressive seven-strikeout showing where he allowed just one earned run against the New York Yankees. While Bradley's swinging-strike rate was sitting at only 8.6% in his first start, he draws a favorable matchup versus the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday.

At the moment, the Red Sox are logging the sixth-highest strikeout rate (24.5%) versus right-handed pitching. Even Aaron Civale -- who owns a 24.6% strikeout rate -- recorded six Ks against Boston on Tuesday with the Red Sox having the 11th-highest swinging rate on pitches outside of the zone (31.6%).

For Boston, Tanner Houck is projected to make his ninth start of the 2024 campaign. Houck is registering career-best marks in SIERA (2.88) and xFIP (2.80) thus far while being in the 95th percentile in walk rate (3.8%).

Despite Houck logging a 23.9% strikeout rate, he also boasts a formidable 11.5% swinging-strike rate. This is notable for today as the Rays tally the fourth-highest swing rate on pitches outside of the zone (33.6%) and the 12th-highest strikeout rate when going up against right-handed pitchers (23.6%).

With Bradley achieving seven Ks in his first start and Houck reaching five-plus Ks in five of his eight starts, I will take both of them to hit five strikeouts in this SGP. To correlate with placing confidence in both starting pitchers, we'll side with the alternate under of 8.5 runs.

The Rays and Red Sox needed extra innings to produce nine-plus runs on Tuesday, and Boston is 15-24-3 to the under on the season.

Cleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers

Nathaniel Lowe to Record 2+ Total Bases (+110)
Josh Naylor to Record a Hit (-270)
First 5 Innings Alternate Total Runs: Over 3.5 (-240)

Combined Odds: +259

At this point in his career, Carlos Carrasco is a very hittable pitcher when he takes the mound for the Cleveland Guardians. Carrasco is currently in the 30th percentile in chase rate (25.9%), 29th percentile in whiff rate (22.0%), and 21st percentile in strikeout rate (17.4%) with the lowest swinging-strike rate (9.7%) of his career since 2013, resulting in him being in the 16th percentile in xERA (5.25).

With Carrasco struggling to get the ball by batters, he's surrendered six-plus hits in four consecutive outings, and he's permitted three-plus earned runs in three of his last four. Being that Carrasco is giving up a .395 wOBA and 1.96 WHIP versus lefties -- compared to a .347 wOBA and 1.09 WHIP to righties -- we'll side with Nathaniel Lowe to record multiple bases for the Texas Rangers.

Since returning to the Rangers' lineup on April 20th, Lowe is sporting a .422 wOBA, .452 OBP, and 175 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching. Lowe has also produced seven multi-hit performances and seven extra-base hits over his first 23 games this year.

Given Carrasco being in the 18th percentile in average exit velocity (90.3 MPH), it's worth noting that Lowe has +750 odds to hit a home run on Wednesday.

On the other side of things, Josh Naylor is swinging a hot bat this season, and Jon Gray is a pitcher we can attack with left-handed hitters. Naylor is rocking a solid .382 wOBA and .359 OBP against right-handed pitchers while Gray is allowing a .319 wOBA, .322 OBP, and 1.40 WHIP when facing left-handed hitters.

By placing confidence in Lowe and Naylor -- along with the other bats for both teams -- we'll take over 3.5 runs to be scored in the first five innings. Of the 11 runs that were scored during Tuesday's Guardians-Rangers showdown, nine of them were recorded in the first five frames.

Oakland Athletics at Houston Astros

Aaron Brooks Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-162)
Alex Bregman to Record 2+ Total Bases (+115)

Combined Odds: +237

Aaron Brooks is set to make his first start in the majors since 2019 when he takes the mound for the Oakland Athletics on Wednesday. Across 18 starts -- and 29 appearances -- in 2019, Brooks was in the 29th percentile in chase rate (27.4%), ninth percentile in whiff rate (19.5%), and 11th percentile in strikeout rate (17.0%).

Even in the KBO in recent years and as a reliever with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2022, Brooks has produced a strikeout rate of 16.5% or lower in each of his last two years pitching. Upon returning to the majors, the 34-year-old pitcher will be tasked with taking on the Houston Astros on the road.

The Astros are a disciplined team at the plate, posting the lowest strikeout rate (17.3%) versus right-handed pitching. It's tough to envision a scenario where Brooks pitches deep enough -- or well enough -- to reach four-plus strikeouts against Houston.

Alex Bregman has been tearing the cover off the baseball in the series against the Athletics, accumulating five hits, three homers, two doubles, and five RBIs in the first two games of the series. With Brooks holding career reverse splits, I will back Bregman to continue his recent hot streak.

For those who believe Bregman goes deep in three consecutive outings, he has +500 odds to hit a home run on Wednesday.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.