MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Tuesday 5/7/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Tuesday 5/7/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Tuesday 5/7/24

Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies

Jose Berrios Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125)
Alec Bohm to Record a Hit (-280)
First 5 Innings Result: Philadelphia Phillies (+102)

Combined Odds: +268

Jose Berrios could very well be the next starting pitcher who struggles to contain the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies have won 10 of their last 11 games, and they've managed to score five-plus runs in eight of those contests.

While Berrios was once a solid strikeout pitcher, we aren't seeing the Ks we're accustomed to seeing from him to begin the 2024 campaign. Besides having the lowest strikeout rate (18.3%) and swinging strike rate (8.6%) of his career since his rookie season in 2016, Berrios is in the 18th percentile in whiff rate (20.1%) in his first seven starts for the Toronto Blue Jays.

Despite reaching six-plus strikeouts in four of his seven starts this year, Berrios may have trouble racking up Ks against the Phillies. Philadelphia currently has the 11th-lowest strikeout rate (21.4%) versus right-handed pitching.

Along with not striking out much against right-handed pitchers, the Phillies are also sporting the third-best ISO (.173), sixth-best wOBA (.330), and fifth-best wRC+ (113) in that split. With Berrios holding reverse splits to begin the season, we'll back Alec Bohm to record a hit in Tuesday's contest.

Bohm has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball, tallying at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 games. Even though Bohm performs better versus southpaws, he is still rocking a solid .395 wOBA, .398 OBP, and 156 wRC+ against righties this year.

Given Philly's advantage against Berrios, we'll side with them to secure a lead in the first five innings. The Phillies have held a lead in the first five innings in each of their last 12 games.

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves

Kutter Crawford Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-142)
Reynaldo Lopez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-146)
First 5 Innings Alternate Total Runs: Under 5.5 (-205)

Combined Odds: +260

It is shaping up to be a warm and humid matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Atlanta Braves on Tuesday, but we're siding with both pitchers. Beginning with Kutter Crawford, the veteran righty is putting together an impressive start to the campaign in his first seven starts.

Despite being in just the 60th percentile in strikeout rate (24.2%), Crawford is in the 84th percentile in chase rate (32.8%). Crawford has registered five-plus Ks in six of his seven starts, and the Braves own the 10th-highest strikeout rate (23.9%) versus right-handed pitching and the 5th-highest swing rate on pitches outside of the strike zone (33.6%).

On the other hand, Reynaldo Lopez has looked like a brand new pitcher since joining Atlanta's rotation this season. Lopez is in the 75th percentile in chase rate (31.1%), 77th percentile in whiff rate (30.0%), and 74th percentile in strikeout rate (27.0%) while achieving six-plus strikeouts in four of his first five appearances on the mound.

The Red Sox have also proven to be a strikeout-prone team in the early going, producing the sixth-highest strikeout rate (24.9%) against right-handed pitchers. Placing confidence in both starters in this showdown makes the alternate under of 5.5 runs in the first five innings fairly enticing.

While the Braves deploy a dangerous lineup, Crawford sits in the 97th percentile in hard-hit rate (26.1%) and 80th percentile in xERA (2.93). Meanwhile, Lopez is in the 70th percentile in barrel rate (5.4%) and 71st percentile in xERA (3.23).

Both Crawford and Lopez have given up fewer than three earned runs in all but one of their starts to begin the year.

Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani to Record 2+ Total Bases (-110)
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-134)

Combined Odds: +202

There isn't a single player who is seeing the ball better than Shohei Ohtani right now. In a 6-3 victory over the Miami Marlins on Monday, Ohtani had his third straight game with a homer for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Across his last nine games alone, Ohtani has gone 15-for-37 at the plate, accruing 5 HRs, 11 RBIs, and 4 multi-hit performances in that span. Of players with 50-plus plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Ohtani leads all of baseball in wOBA (.531), ISO (.415), and wRC+ (251).

Even with his recent stretch of dominance, Ohtani is being given +310 odds to hit a home run on Dinger Tuesday.

While Edward Cabrera does have strikeout upside, the hard-throwing righty for the Marlins is getting hit pretty hard. Through his first four starts in 2024, Cabrera is in the 12th percentile in barrel rate (11.1%) and has permitted three-plus earned runs in three consecutive starts.

Instead of taking Yoshinobu Yamamoto to connect on his strikeout prop, we'll take the Dodgers' run line to place confidence in him having success on the mound while Los Angeles does damage versus Cabrera and Miami's bullpen.

The bullpen of the Marlins is posting the eighth-worst SIERA (3.93), third-worst WHIP (1.45), and the eighth-lowest strikeout rate (21.4%). Lastly, the Dodgers have won by two-plus runs in seven of their last eight wins.

Dinger Tuesday is back! Place a pre-live, straight "To Hit a Home Run" wager on any MLB game happening May 7th. You’ll get Bonus Bets for each home run BOTH TEAMS hit in the game! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Looking for more MLB betting opportunities? Check out all of the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.