MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Monday 6/10/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Monday 6/10/24

Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins

Dakota Hudson Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-113)
Trevor Larnach to Record a Hit (-230)
Elias Diaz to Record a Hit (-210)

Combined Odds: +259

Strikeouts aren't exactly a specialty for Dakota Hudson of the Colorado Rockies as he's in the fourth percentile in strikeout rate (12.6%) with just a 7.3% swinging strike rate. Hudson is also ranked in the fifth percentile in chase rate (22.1%) and ninth percentile in whiff rate (18.3%) ahead of a matchup against the Minnesota Twins on Monday.

After beginning the season as a strikeout-prone team, the Twins have improved to having the 14th-highest strikeout rate (23.3%) versus right-handed pitching. Over the last 30 days, Minnesota has jumped to having the 14th-lowest strikeout rate (22.2%).

FanDuel Research's projections have Hudson recording the fewest strikeouts (3.77) among pitchers taking the mound on Monday.

Besides tallying fewer than four strikeouts in eight of his 12 starts in 2024, Hudson is permitting a .377 wOBA, 5.67 xFIP, and 1.86 WHIP to left-handed hitters. With lefties having plenty of success against Hudson, Trevor Larnach is poised for a productive outing.

Larnach has been batting out of the leadoff spot versus righties in recent games, posting at least one hit in seven of his last 10 outings while currently owning a three-game hit streak. On the season, Larnach is logging a .342 wOBA, .331 OBP, and 124 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers.

Lastly, we'll take Elias Diaz to record a hit for the Rockies with Chris Paddack struggling versus both sides of the plate. While Paddack is allowing a .353 wOBA and 1.41 WHIP to right-handed bats, Diaz has a hit in seven of his last 10 contests and boasts a .356 wOBA and .364 OBP when facing right-handed pitching this season.

New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals

Carlos Rodon Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+108)
Maikel Garcia to Record a Run (-110)

Combined Odds: +259

Carlos Rodon has been racking up wins for the New York Yankees -- tallying a win in seven of his last eight starts -- but he could run into trouble on the road versus the Kansas City Royals on Monday. Rodon doesn't appear to be the strikeout pitcher he once was, sitting in the 48th percentile in chase rate (28.0%), 59th percentile in whiff rate (26.5%), and 59th percentile in strikeout rate (23.7%).

Additionally, Rodon is in the 9th percentile in average exit velocity (90.9 MPH), 22nd percentile in barrel rate (9.4%), and 20th percentile in hard-hit rate (43.3%). Those metrics have led to him ranking in the 36th percentile in xERA (4.24).

It's also important to note that Rodon is registering a 4.62 xFIP, 1.27 WHIP, and 21.8% strikeout rate on the road, compared to a 3.77 xFIP, 0.83 WHIP, and 26.4% strikeout rate at Yankee Stadium in 2024. Rodon's home/road splits and inability to avoid hard contact could be an issue against a Royals squad that has the fourth-lowest strikeout rate (18.8%) versus southpaws.

Aside from having the 5th-lowest strikeout rate (19.7%) in the last 14 days, Kansas City also has the 10th-highest wOBA (.324), 10th-highest wRC+ (106), and 7th-highest ISO (.171). At the moment, Rodon is giving up a .309 wOBA, 1.48 HR/9, and 22.9% strikeout rate against right-handed hitters, compared to a .264 wOBA, 0.75 HR/9, and 27.7% strikeout rate to left-handed hitters.

With those numbers in mind, Maikel Garcia could be in a solid spot to cross home plate. Garcia has reached safely in seven of his last nine games -- scoring a run in six of those -- while rocking a .374 wOBA, .250 ISO, 141 wRC+, and just a 5.7% strikeout rate against left-handed pitchers.

Oakland Athletics at San Diego Padres

Dylan Cease to Record 8+ Strikeouts (-166)
Jake Cronenworth to Record 2+ Total Bases (+135)

Combined Odds: +265

It has been five consecutive starts for Dylan Cease where he has surrendered three-plus earned runs, but he'll be in a premier bounce-back spot on Monday versus the Oakland Athletics. The right-handed ace of the San Diego Padres still resides in the 74th percentile in chase rate (30.9%), 93rd percentile in whiff rate (33.2%), and 88th percentile in strikeout rate (30.5%) with an elite 14.8% swinging strike rate.

Meanwhile, the Athletics are recording the third-highest strikeout rate (26.5%) against right-handed pitchers this year. Besides having the highest strikeout rate (27.7%) in the last 30 days, Oakland is also posting the worst wOBA (.278), third-worst wRC+ (84), and eighth-worst ISO (.134) in that span.

Given the Athletics' tendency to strike out recently, I don't mind taking Cease's strikeout prop of over 8.5 at +120 odds or taking his alternate line of 10-plus strikeouts at +210.

On the other hand, Joey Estes will draw the start for Oakland. Even though Estes has performed better in recent appearances, there are still metrics he's producing that could be an issue moving forward -- especially against lefties.

Along with being in the 23rd percentile or worse in average exit velocity (90.0 MPH), barrel rate (9.3%), and hard-hit rate (44.0%), Estes is allowing a 4.79 xFIP, 1.74 HR/9, and 63.0% flyball rate to left-handed hitters, compared to a 4.02 xFIP, 0.00 HR/9, and 54.2% flyball rate to right-handed hitters.

Jake Cronenworth is a left-handed bat who can take advantage of those splits. Cronenworth is in good form with two-plus bases in three of his last four contests, and he's sporting a .367 wOBA, .223 ISO, 145 wRC+, and a 16.5% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers.

Ahead of Monday's Athletics-Padres showdown, Cronenworth is being given +520 odds to hit a home run.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.