MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Friday 5/17/24
Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!
SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.
Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!
Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.
Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Friday 5/17/24
Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees
Mike Clevinger Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-148)
Aaron Judge to Record 2+ Total Bases (-105)
Juan Soto to Record a Run (-165)
Combined Odds: +336
The New York Yankees are swinging a hot bat right now, making Mike Clevinger a pitcher we want to target in this SGP. The experienced right-handed starter for the Chicago White Sox has made just two starts in 2024, but he's registered a woeful 14.7% strikeout rate and 24.6% whiff rate in those starts.
Upon adding Juan Soto and Alex Verdugo to their lineup, the Yankees are sporting the fourth-lowest strikeout rate (19.4%) against right-handed pitchers. On top of that, New York is logging the best wOBA (.345), third-best ISO (.182), and best wRC+ (127) in the split.
Given those metrics, Aaron Judge is among the batters on the Yankees I want to focus on. Judge is seeing the ball extremely well right now, totaling six multi-hit performances, nine doubles, and five homers across his last 11 outings.
With Clevinger struggling on the mound, Judge is being given +230 odds to hit a home run on Friday.
Along with Judge, we'll side with Soto to record a run as he'll be slotted in one spot ahead of the hard-hitting righty in New York's lineup. Seeing that Clevinger has a 11.8% walk rate thus far, taking Soto to cross the plate is somewhat safer than taking Soto's total bases prop as he tends to draw plenty of walks.
In his debut season in pinstripes, Soto is rocking a .409 wOBA, .416 OBP, and ISO in matchups with right-handeders while leading the team in runs scored (30). Chicago's bullpen is also recording the third-worst SIERA (4.25), fourth-worst WHIP (1.40), and fifth-lowest strikeout rate (20.7%), so the Yanks' offense should be able to keep rolling once Clevinger departs.
Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals
Cole Ragans Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-120)
Kansas City Royals -1.5 Run Line (+105)
Combined Odds: +226
We can't ask for a better matchup for Cole Ragans than they one we'll get here as the Kansas City Royals are taking on the Oakland Athletics at home on Friday. Ragans is an elite strikeout pitcher, sitting in the 69th percentile in chase rate (30.4%), 84th percentile in whiff rate (31.1%), and 76th percentile in strikeout rate (27.3%) across his first nine starts.
The chase and whiff rates are the metrics that could lead to a high strikeout rate versus the Athletics, who have the highest CSW% (29.7%) in all of baseball. Oakland is also logging the sixth-highest strikeout rate (24.8%) when going up against left-handed pitching.
The one concern for Ragans is the fact the Athletics hit for power versus southpaws, producing the second-best ISO (.183) in that split. At the same time, Oakland is recording the fifth-lowest walk rate (6.5%) against left-handed pitchers, and Ragans has tallied eight-plus Ks in two of his last three starts.
By placing confidence in Ragans, I will also take the Royals to win by two-plus runs at home. The Athletics are amid a five-game skid, losing four of those games by multiple runs -- including a 3-0 defeat to left-handed starter Framber Valdez where the Houston Astros' hurler racked up eight strikeouts.
Meanwhile, Kansas City is 15-8 at home this year, and they are 26-19 against the spread in their first 45 games.
Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani to Record 2+ Total Bases (-135)
Max Muncy to Record an RBI (+150)
Combined Odds: +320
Frankie Montas hasn't gotten off to a terrible start this season, but he'll face a tall task in shutting down the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday. Ahead of his eighth start for the Cincinnati Reds, Montas is in the 34th percentile in xERA (4.30), 37th percentile in xBA (.255), 16th percentile in whiff rate (19.8%), and 23rd percentile in strikeout rate (18.2%).
At the moment, Montas is giving up a .355 wOBA, 1.56 WHIP, and .446 SLG to left-handed bats, compared to a .279 wOBA, 1.14 WHIP, and .321 SLG to right-handed bats. Taking that into account, this is a perfect time to target Shohei Ohtani and Max Muncy.
Ohtani has been downright dominant since joining the Dodgers, putting up league-best numbers in wOBA (.528), ISO (.387), and wRC+ (250) when taking on right-handed pitchers. The all-world talent has multiple hits in three of his last four games, and he's popped four career homers against Montas.
This is notable considering that Ohtani is carrying +265 odds to hit a home run in Friday's Reds-Dodgers clash.
On the other hand, Muncy is going to be a consistent source of RBIs hitting behind Ohtani, Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, and Will Smith in LA's loaded lineup. The hard-hitting lefty has an RBI in back-to-back appearances while accumulating 10 RBIs over his last 10 games.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.