MLB Prop Betting: How Many Strikeouts Will Spencer Strider Get in 2023?

The 2023 MLB season has already been a storied one with what the likes of Shohei Ohtani and Ronald Acuna are doing, but don't sleep on what Spencer Strider has going on the mound.

Strider is in the midst of an incredible sophomore season and has a legit chance to reach the 275-strikeout mark, a barrier that doesn't get touched often.

Can Strider become the first pitcher since 2019 to record at least 275 strikeouts? FanDuel Sportsbook -- via their MLB odds -- is offering odds on it in the player specials market, so let's dig in.

Spencer Strider's 275+ Strikeout Odds

FanDuel Sportsbook Odds

• Yes: +100
• No: -130

Strider has been outstanding in 2023 after a rookie campaign where he was, well, outstanding.

The Atlanta Braves have counted on Strider even more this season than last after Max Fried was injured early on in 2023. Strider has more than answered the call.

Through 18 starts, Strider is 11-2 with a 3.44 ERA. That's great as it is, but his advanced stats are even better as he owns a skill-interactive ERA (SIERA) of 2.67.

Of course, the stat that we are looking at here is his league-leading 166 strikeouts -- 13 more than the next-highest hurler. It should come as no surprise that his 38.9% strikeout rate is the best in the majors, as well, and he's averaging an eye-popping 14.27 strikeouts per nine (K/9).

Assuming these numbers hold up for the rest of the season, the 275-strikeout mark is in reach.

Strider ranks among the best of the best in about every metric when it comes to striking out batters. Per Baseball Savant, Strider is in the 95th percentile in chase rate and 98th percentile in whiff percentage.

He has the ability -- and the knockout pitches -- but Strider is going to need enough innings to punch out 275 guys, and that brings both rest and injury risk into the equation. Having one start skipped could be the difference between Strider hitting this clip and him falling short.

The last time the 275-K mark was hit was in 2019 -- when Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander eclipsed it for the Astros, with both also hitting 300 strikeouts. During that season, Cole had a 39.9% strikeout rate, and Verlander had a 35.4% K rate, leaving Strider right in the middle of them both. That makes the possibility of him reaching 275 strikeouts all the more believable.

Spencer Strider Rest-of-Season Projection

Looking at the rest of the season, numberFire has Strider projected for 105 more strikeouts, which would leave him at 271 for the year. ZiPS projections also have him falling short, expecting Strider to close out the season with just 93 more punchouts. Steamer is the only projection system on the side of Strider reaching 275+ Ks, giving him 109 strikeouts from here on out -- which would put him at exactly 275 strikeouts.

Clearly, Strider has a very real chance. If he can get the right amount of innings from here on out -- meaning he stays healthy and isn't rested by the Braves -- then that 275 number is well within reach.

However, factoring in the risk for injury and the way teams handle their pitchers in 2023 -- especially with how big of a cushion Atlanta may have in the NL East in September -- Strider will need to catch some breaks to get to 275 Ks, which makes the -130 odds on 'No' fairly appealing.

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