Mississippi State vs LSU Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 10 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-11, 8-10 SEC) and the No. 15 seed LSU Tigers (14-17, 3-15 SEC) meet in the SEC tournament Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mississippi State vs. LSU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Mississippi State is a 9.5-point favorite over LSU on Wednesday and the over/under has been set at 145.5 points. Here's some betting insights and trends if you plan to place a wager on the outing.

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Mississippi State vs. LSU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Mississippi State is 14-17-0 ATS this season.
• LSU has put together a 14-17-0 record against the spread this season.
• As a 9.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, LSU is 3-6 against the spread compared to the 5-4 ATS record Mississippi State racks up as a 9.5-point favorite.
• When playing at home, the Bulldogs own a worse record against the spread (6-9-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (6-5-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Tigers have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 9-9-0 record) than away (.400, 4-6-0).
• Mississippi State is 7-11-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Against the spread in SEC action, LSU is 7-11-0 this year.

Mississippi State vs. LSU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Mississippi State has been the moneyline favorite in 24 games this season and has come away with the win 17 times (70.8%) in those contests.
• The Bulldogs have been a -465 moneyline favorite on eight occasions this season and won every game.
• LSU has won four of the 21 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (19%).
• The Tigers have played in eight games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +350 or longer without earning a win.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 82.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mississippi State vs. LSU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Mississippi State outscores opponents by 5.4 points per game (scoring 79.6 per game to rank 45th in college basketball while allowing 74.2 per contest to rank 252nd in college basketball) and has a +168 scoring differential overall.
• Josh Hubbard paces Mississippi State, putting up 18.2 points per game (67th in college basketball).
• LSU is outscoring opponents by 1.2 points per game, with a +37 scoring differential overall. It puts up 74.2 points per game (163rd in college basketball) and allows 73.0 per outing (215th in college basketball).
• LSU's leading scorer, Camryn Carter, is 150th in the country, scoring 16.5 points per game.
• The 35.6 rebounds per game the Bulldogs average rank 27th in college basketball, and are 2.9 more than the 32.7 their opponents grab per outing.
• KeShawn Murphy averages 7.5 rebounds per game (ranking 108th in college basketball) to lead the Bulldogs.
• The Tigers record 32.5 rebounds per game (150th in college basketball) while conceding 34.2 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.7 boards per game.
• Corey Chest is 223rd in the nation with 6.6 rebounds per game, leading the Tigers.
• Mississippi State's 99.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 88th in college basketball, and the 92.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 164th in college basketball.
• The Tigers average 92.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (261st in college basketball), and give up 91.3 points per 100 possessions (127th in college basketball).

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