Michigan State vs Oregon Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Ten Tournament

The top-seeded Michigan State Spartans (26-5, 17-3 Big Ten) are squaring off against the No. 8 seed Oregon Ducks (24-8, 12-8 Big Ten) in the Big Ten tournament on Friday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, at 12 p.m. ET airing on Big Ten Network.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Oregon Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Michigan State vs. Oregon Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (62.5%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for Michigan State (-5.5) versus Oregon on Friday. The over/under is set at 141.5 points for this game.

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Michigan State vs. Oregon: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has won 21 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Oregon is 16-16-0 ATS this season.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Oregon is 3-2 against the spread compared to the 12-5 ATS record Michigan State racks up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• The Spartans have done a better job covering the spread in road games (7-2-0) than they have in home games (10-6-0).
• This season, the Ducks are 6-10-0 at home against the spread (.375 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-6-0 ATS (.455).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Michigan State is 15-5-0 this year.
• Against the spread in Big Ten play, Oregon is 9-12-0 this year.

Michigan State vs. Oregon: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been the moneyline favorite in 24 games this season and has come away with the win 21 times (87.5%) in those contests.
• The Spartans have a mark of 16-1 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -250 or better on the moneyline.
• Oregon has won four of the seven games it was the moneyline underdog this season (57.1%).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +202 or longer, the Ducks have a record of 2-2 (50%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan State has a 71.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Michigan State vs. Oregon Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State's +353 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 78.4 points per game (71st in college basketball) while allowing 67 per outing (44th in college basketball).
• Michigan State's leading scorer, Jaden Akins, is 541st in the country averaging 12.9 points per game.
• Oregon outscores opponents by 5.8 points per game (posting 76.6 points per game, 102nd in college basketball, and conceding 70.8 per outing, 144th in college basketball) and has a +184 scoring differential.
• Nathan Bittle's team-leading 13.9 points per game rank him 389th in the country.
• The Spartans win the rebound battle by nine boards on average. They collect 36.9 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in college basketball, while their opponents grab 27.9 per outing.
• Jaxon Kohler tops the team with 7.8 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball play).
• The Ducks rank 188th in the country at 31.7 rebounds per game. That's 1.1 more than the 30.6 their opponents average.
• Bittle tops the team with 7.3 rebounds per game (129th in college basketball).
• Michigan State's 100.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 73rd in college basketball, and the 86 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 22nd in college basketball.
• The Ducks rank 103rd in college basketball averaging 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 120th, allowing 91.1 points per 100 possessions.

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