Mets vs Royals Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 9

Odds updated as of 12:12 p.m.

In MLB action on Thursday, the New York Mets face the Kansas City Royals.

We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mets vs Royals Game Info

• New York Mets (39-54) vs. Kansas City Royals (38-55)
• Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
• Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Citi Field -- Queens, New York
• Coverage: SNY and Royals.TV

Mets vs Royals Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (-136) | KC: (+116)
• Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+152) | KC: +1.5 (-184)
• Total: 9 -- Over: (-120) | Under: (-102)

Mets vs Royals Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Sean Manaea (Mets) - 1-4, 4.76 ERA vs Michael Wacha (Royals) - 5-6, 3.45 ERA

The Mets will call on Sean Manaea (1-4) versus the Royals and Michael Wacha (5-6). Manaea and his team have a record of 2-3-0 against the spread when he starts. Manaea's team lost his only start as a favorite this season. The Royals have an 8-9-0 ATS record in Wacha's 17 starts with a set spread. The Royals are 2-9 in Wacha's 11 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Mets vs Royals Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (60%)

Mets vs Royals Moneyline

• New York is a -136 favorite on the moneyline, while Kansas City is a +116 underdog on the road.

Mets vs Royals Spread

• The Mets are 1.5-run home favorites on the runline against the Royals. The Mets are +152 to cover, and the Royals are -184.

Mets vs Royals Over/Under

• The Mets-Royals game on July 9 has been given an over/under of 9 runs. The over is set at -120 and the under at -102.

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Mets vs Royals Betting Trends

• The Mets have been favorites in 56 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (51.8%) in those contests.
• New York has a record of 13-18 when favored by -136 or more this year.
• The Mets and their opponents have gone over in 42 of their 91 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mets are 39-52-0 against the spread in their 91 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Royals have gone 22-36 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 37.9% of those games).
• Kansas City is 10-12 (winning 45.5% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +116 or longer.
• The Royals have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 44 times this season for a 44-44-1 record against the over/under.
• The Royals have a 40-49-0 record against the spread this season.

Mets Player Leaders

• Juan Soto has 78 hits and an OBP of .410, both of which rank first among New York hitters this season. He has a .295 batting average and a slugging percentage of .568.
• Among qualifying hitters in baseball, his batting average ranks 17th, his on-base percentage ranks second, and he is sixth in slugging.
• Bo Bichette has hit 10 homers this season while driving in 50 runs. He's batting .258 this season and slugging .380 with an on-base percentage of .302.
• Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 71st in batting average, 128th in on-base percentage and 115th in slugging percentage.
• Bichette brings a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .286 with a double, three walks and four RBIs.
• Carson Benge is batting .265 with a .410 slugging percentage and 36 RBI this year.
• Benge enters this game with three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBIs.
• A.J. Ewing has seven home runs, 24 RBI and a batting average of .279 this season.
• Ewing takes a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with a double, three home runs, two walks and five RBIs.

Royals Player Leaders

• Bobby Witt Jr. has racked up a team-best OBP (.360) and slugging percentage (.458), while leading the Royals in hits (99, while batting .289).
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, his batting average ranks 24th, his on-base percentage is 35th, and he is 53rd in slugging.
• Witt heads into this matchup on a four-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Carter Jensen is hitting .247 with 18 doubles, 13 home runs and 30 walks. He's slugging .439 with an on-base percentage of .313.
• His batting average ranks 94th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage is 112th, and he is 66th in slugging.
• Jac Caglianone is batting .257 with 14 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 25 walks.
• Michael Massey has 15 doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks while hitting .263.

Mets vs Royals Head to Head

• 7/8/2026: 6-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
• 7/7/2026: 16-12 KC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 7/12/2025: 3-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 7/11/2025: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 4/13/2024: 11-7 KC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 4/12/2024: 6-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 8/3/2023: 9-2 KC (Favorite: Royals, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 8/2/2023: 4-0 KC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 8/1/2023: 7-6 KC (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -156, Underdog Moneyline: +132)

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