Mets vs Pirates Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for June 27

Odds updated as of 8:14 a.m.
The New York Mets will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action on Friday.
We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Mets vs Pirates Game Info
- New York Mets (48-34) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (32-50)
- Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: PNC Park -- Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Coverage: SportsNet PT and SNY
Mets vs Pirates Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYM: (-164) | PIT: (+138)
- Spread: NYM: -1.5 (-102) | PIT: +1.5 (-118)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)
Mets vs Pirates Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: David Peterson (Mets) - 5-3, 2.98 ERA vs Mitch Keller (Pirates) - 1-10, 4.02 ERA
The probable pitchers are David Peterson (5-3) for the Mets and Mitch Keller (1-10) for the Pirates. Peterson's team is 7-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Peterson's team is 8-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Pirates have gone 7-8-0 against the spread when Keller starts. The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Keller's starts this season, and they went 2-8 in those matchups.
Mets vs Pirates Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mets win (55.3%)
Mets vs Pirates Moneyline
- The Mets vs Pirates moneyline has New York as a -164 favorite, while Pittsburgh is a +138 underdog at home.
Mets vs Pirates Spread
- The Pirates are +1.5 on the spread (-118 to cover), and New York is -102 to cover the runline.
Mets vs Pirates Over/Under
- Mets versus Pirates on June 27 has an over/under of 8.5 runs, with the odds on the over -114 and the under set at -106.
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Mets vs Pirates Betting Trends
- The Mets have been favorites in 54 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (70.4%) in those contests.
- This season New York has come away with a win 19 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -164 on the moneyline.
- The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 79 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mets are 41-38-0 against the spread in their 79 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have won 20 of the 52 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (38.5%).
- Pittsburgh has a record of 9-17 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +138 or longer (34.6%).
- The Pirates have played in 76 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 29 times (29-44-3).
- The Pirates are 37-39-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto leads New York in OBP (.394) this season, fueled by 74 hits. He has a .257 batting average and a slugging percentage of .503.
- Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 79th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks sixth, and he is 22nd in slugging.
- Soto has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .267 with three home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
- Pete Alonso has 90 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .549, both of which rank first among New York hitters this season. He's batting .292 with an on-base percentage of .384.
- Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 23rd, his on-base percentage 12th, and his slugging percentage ninth.
- Alonso heads into this matchup looking to extend his three-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double and an RBI.
- Francisco Lindor has collected 85 base hits, an OBP of .333 and a slugging percentage of .458 this season.
- Brandon Nimmo has 15 home runs, 42 RBI and a batting average of .251 this season.
- Nimmo brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a walk and an RBI.
Pirates Player Leaders
- Oneil Cruz has 10 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 42 walks while batting .205. He's slugging .398 with an on-base percentage of .317.
- Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average puts him 155th, his on-base percentage is 103rd, and he is 107th in slugging.
- Andrew McCutchen's 65 hits and .338 on-base percentage both pace his team. He has a batting average of .259 while slugging .406.
- He is 75th in batting average, 67th in on-base percentage and 96th in slugging percentage in MLB.
- Bryan Reynolds has a team-best .372 slugging percentage.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 12 walks while batting .273.
Mets vs Pirates Head to Head
- 5/14/2025: 4-0 PIT (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -270, Underdog Moneyline: +220)
- 5/13/2025: 2-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -250, Underdog Moneyline: +205)
- 5/12/2025: 4-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +140)
- 7/8/2024: 8-2 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 7/7/2024: 3-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
- 7/6/2024: 5-2 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
- 7/5/2024: 14-2 PIT (Favorite: Pirates, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 4/17/2024: 9-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
- 4/16/2024: 3-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
- 4/15/2024: 6-3 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
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