Marlins vs Phillies Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 28

Odds updated as of 6:12 p.m.

Tuesday's slate in the MLB includes a matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important information regarding this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Marlins vs Phillies Game Info

• Miami Marlins (53-54) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (57-50)
• Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
• Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: Marlins.TV and NBCS-PH

Marlins vs Phillies Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIA: (-134) | PHI: (+116)
• Spread: MIA: -1.5 (+155) | PHI: +1.5 (-188)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Marlins vs Phillies Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara (Marlins) - 10-6, 4.01 ERA vs Aaron Nola (Phillies) - 3-8, 5.82 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Marlins will send Sandy Alcantara (10-6) to the mound, while Aaron Nola (3-8) will take the ball for the Phillies. Alcantara and his team are 14-8-0 ATS this season when he starts. Alcantara's team has won 63.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-4). The Phillies have a 5-16-0 record against the spread in Nola's starts. The Phillies are 4-4 in Nola's eight starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marlins win (63.1%)

Marlins vs Phillies Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Marlins vs. Phillies reveal Miami as the favorite (-134) and Philadelphia as the underdog (+116) on the road.

Marlins vs Phillies Spread

• The Marlins are favored by 1.5 runs at home against the Phillies. The Marlins are +155 to cover the spread, while the Phillies are -188.

Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under

• Marlins versus Phillies on July 28 has an over/under of 8 runs, with the odds on the over -114 and the under set at -106.

Bet on Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies on FanDuel today!

Marlins vs Phillies Betting Trends

• The Marlins have been chosen as favorites in 47 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (61.7%) in those games.
• This year Miami has won 14 of 22 games when listed as at least -134 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Marlins have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 54 of 106 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 54-52-0 against the spread in their 106 games that had a posted line this season.
• The Phillies have gone 9-20 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 31% of those games).
• Philadelphia has a 1-6 record (winning just 14.3% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +116 or longer.
• The Phillies have played in 104 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 46 times (46-56-2).
• The Phillies have a 39-65-0 record ATS this season (covering just 37.5% of the time).

Marlins Player Leaders

• Otto Lopez leads Miami in slugging percentage (.496) and total hits (136) this season. He's batting .331 with an on-base percentage of .365.
• Among all qualifying hitters, he is first in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 25th, and he is 24th in slugging.
• Liam Hicks is hitting .279 with nine doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 36 walks. He's slugging .438 with an on-base percentage of .358.
• Among all qualified hitters, he ranks 34th in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage and 66th in slugging percentage.
• Xavier Edwards leads Miami with an OBP of .369 this season while batting .290 with 52 walks and 51 runs scored.
• Edwards has logged a hit or more in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double.
• Javier Sanoja is batting .265 with a .304 OBP and 35 RBI for Miami this season.

Phillies Player Leaders

• Bryce Harper is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 66 walks. He's slugging .491 with an on-base percentage of .359.
• Including all the qualified players in MLB, his batting average puts him 81st, his on-base percentage is 34th, and he is 25th in slugging.
• Kyle Schwarber's 97 hits and .365 on-base percentage both lead his team. He has a batting average of .252 while slugging .545.
• Including all qualified hitters, he ranks 81st in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage and seventh in slugging percentage.
• Trea Turner is batting .244 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 28 walks.
• Bryson Stott has 20 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 28 walks while hitting .256.

Marlins vs Phillies Head to Head

• 7/27/2026: 8-7 MIA (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -205, Underdog Moneyline: +172)
• 6/17/2026: 12-4 MIA (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 6/16/2026: 8-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
• 6/15/2026: 7-0 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -190, Underdog Moneyline: +160)
• 5/4/2026: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: -106)
• 5/3/2026: 7-2 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
• 5/2/2026: 4-0 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 5/1/2026: 6-5 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 9/25/2025: 1-0 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -154, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 9/24/2025: 11-1 PHI (Favorite: Phillies, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!