Marlins vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 26

Odds updated as of 1:12 p.m.

The Miami Marlins versus the San Diego Padres is on the MLB schedule for Sunday.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the vital information about this game.

Marlins vs Padres Game Info

• Miami Marlins (52-53) vs. San Diego Padres (52-53)
• Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
• Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: Marlins.TV and Padres.TV

Marlins vs Padres Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIA: (-124) | SD: (+106)
• Spread: MIA: -1.5 (+172) | SD: +1.5 (-210)
• Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)

Marlins vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Janson Junk (Marlins) - 4-6, 5.09 ERA vs Walker Buehler (Padres) - 6-5, 5.23 ERA

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Marlins will send Janson Junk (4-6) to the mound, while Walker Buehler (6-5) will take the ball for the Padres. Junk and his team have a record of 6-7-0 against the spread when he starts. Junk's team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2). When Buehler starts, the Padres have gone 14-6-0 against the spread. The Padres are 8-4 in Buehler's 12 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.

Marlins vs Padres Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marlins win (61.2%)

Marlins vs Padres Moneyline

• San Diego is the underdog, +106 on the moneyline, while Miami is a -124 favorite at home.

Marlins vs Padres Spread

• The Marlins are favored by 1.5 runs at home versus the Padres. The Marlins are +172 to cover the spread, while the Padres are -210.

Marlins vs Padres Over/Under

• An over/under of 8.5 has been set for Marlins-Padres on July 26, with the over being -122 and the under +100.

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Marlins vs Padres Betting Trends

• The Marlins have been favorites in 46 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (63%) in those contests.
• Miami has a record of 22-12 when favored by -124 or more this year.
• The Marlins and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 104 opportunities.
• The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 53-51-0 in 104 games with a line this season.
• The Padres have won 46.7% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (28-32).
• San Diego has a 19-26 record (winning 42.2% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +106 or longer.
• The Padres have played in 105 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 48 times (48-56-1).
• The Padres have collected a 58-47-0 record ATS this season (covering 55.2% of the time).

Marlins Player Leaders

• Otto Lopez has 133 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .495, both of which are best among Miami hitters this season. He has a .331 batting average and an on-base percentage of .366.
• Among qualifying hitters, he is first in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 22nd, and he is 23rd in slugging.
• Lopez hopes to build on a three-game hitting streak in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with three walks and two RBIs.
• Liam Hicks is hitting .279 with nine doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 35 walks, while slugging .442 with an on-base percentage of .356.
• He ranks 31st in batting average, 37th in on-base percentage and 59th in slugging in MLB.
• Xavier Edwards leads Miami with an OBP of .370 this season while batting .289 with 52 walks and 51 runs scored.
• Javier Sanoja has been key for Miami with 69 hits, an OBP of .303 plus a slugging percentage of .394.

Padres Player Leaders

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has an on-base percentage of .349 and a slugging percentage of .398. Both lead the Padres. He's batting .280.
• Including all qualifying hitters in MLB, he ranks 29th in batting average, 53rd in on-base percentage and 101st in slugging percentage.
• Manny Machado's 78 hits pace his team. He has a batting average of .207 while slugging .428 with an on-base percentage of .295.
• Including all qualified hitters, his batting average places him 142nd, his on-base percentage is 132nd, and he is 73rd in slugging.
• Jackson Merrill is batting .228 with 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 29 walks.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .218 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 47 walks.

Marlins vs Padres Head to Head

• 7/25/2026: 7-2 SD (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 7/24/2026: 4-2 SD (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/23/2025: 3-2 MIA (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 7/22/2025: 4-3 MIA (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)
• 7/21/2025: 2-1 SD (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 5/28/2025: 10-8 MIA (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 5/27/2025: 8-6 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -162, Underdog Moneyline: +136)
• 5/26/2025: 4-3 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -152, Underdog Moneyline: +128)
• 8/11/2024: 7-6 MIA (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +168)
• 8/10/2024: 9-8 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -198, Underdog Moneyline: +166)

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