Kansas vs TCU College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big 12 Tournament

The No. 3 seed Kansas Jayhawks (22-9, 12-6 Big 12) will square off against the No. 6 seed TCU Horned Frogs (22-10, 11-7 Big 12) in the Big 12 tournament Thursday at T-Mobile Center, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Kansas vs. TCU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 12, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Arena: T-Mobile Center

Kansas vs. TCU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Kansas win (61.4%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Kansas (-5.5) versus TCU on Thursday. The over/under is set at 146.5 points for this game.

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Kansas vs. TCU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Kansas has covered 19 times in 31 games with a spread this season.
• TCU is 19-13-0 ATS this year.
• Kansas (8-5) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 5.5 points or more this season (61.5%) than TCU (7-2) does as a 5.5+-point underdog (77.8%).
• The Jayhawks have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 10 times in 15 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 11 opportunities in road games.
• Against the spread, the Horned Frogs have had better results on the road (6-3-0) than at home (9-10-0).
• Kansas has 10 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• TCU is 12-7-0 against the spread in Big 12 action this season.

Kansas vs. TCU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Kansas has won in 15, or 78.9%, of the 19 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Jayhawks have won 12 of 14 games when listed as at least -230 or better on the moneyline.
• TCU has won 50% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (5-5).
• The Horned Frogs have a record of 4-5 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +188 or longer (44.4%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Kansas has a 69.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Kansas vs. TCU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Kansas outscores opponents by 7.2 points per game (scoring 76.5 per game to rank 161st in college basketball while giving up 69.3 per outing to rank 61st in college basketball) and has a +223 scoring differential overall.
• Tre White ranks 371st in the country with a team-high 14.3 points per game.
• TCU puts up 78.5 points per game (114th in college basketball) while giving up 71.9 per outing (122nd in college basketball). It has a +211 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.6 points per game.
• David Punch is 407th in the country with a team-leading 14 points per game.
• The Jayhawks record 35.9 rebounds per game (29th in college basketball) while allowing 32.9 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by three boards per game.
• Flory Bidunga is 33rd in college basketball action with nine rebounds per game to lead the Jayhawks.
• The Horned Frogs win the rebound battle by 2.9 boards on average. They collect 32.3 rebounds per game, 154th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.4.
• Xavier Edmonds tops the team with 6.8 rebounds per game (181st in college basketball).
• Kansas' 97.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 176th in college basketball, and the 88.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 40th in college basketball.
• The Horned Frogs record 99 points per 100 possessions (150th in college basketball), while conceding 90.7 points per 100 possessions (69th in college basketball).

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