The standout corner prop in this match. Paraguay have failed to cover the 2.5 corners line in three straight games. Through three World Cup matches, Paraguay has just two corners — they didn't earn a single one against Turkey, and they recorded just one in each of their other two games. Germany allowed just seven total in the group stage, making this an easy three-unit play.

Paraguay's entire game plan is to sit deep and break quickly — they don't generate corners because they don't attack in sustained waves. Against Germany they will defend even deeper, meaning corner production will be even lower. This is as close to a free money prop as this match offers.

Germany have averaged 6.2 corners per match. Paraguay allow an average of 5.6 corners per match. If Germany generate 7+ corners (very plausible given their 6.2 average) and Paraguay earn even 3, the total clears 9.5 comfortably. The O8.5 at -140 is the safer line; O9.5 at +105 is the value play for those wanting a return.

Havertz is confirmed on FanDuel's shots on target prop board. As the starting false-9 centre-forward, he occupies the central finishing zone and will receive through-balls from Wirtz and Musiala in pockets between Paraguay's defensive and midfield lines. Germany have 7.3 shots on target per game — Havertz, as the primary central target, will generate multiple attempts on goal.

Musiala scored in both of Germany's group wins and is one of the highest-volume shooters in Germany's squad. He generates shots from the half-space — compact, close-to-goal attempts that regularly hit the target. With Paraguay sitting in a low block, Germany will generate many half-space shooting opportunities exactly where Musiala thrives.

Kimmich is confirmed on FanDuel's player shots-on-target board. Under Nagelsmann's system, Kimmich pushes into central midfield positions from the right back slot. He is one of the best long-range shooting right backs in European football — his technique from distance is well established and Paraguay's compressed 4-4-2 block creates the 30-yard shooting lanes that Kimmich exploits.

The Over 2.5 at -142 is the market's strongest signal — and with both teams projected to score, Paraguay O0.5 goals at -134 is the natural companion. Almirón back from suspension provides the counter-attack pace that makes Germany's aggressive press exploitable, creating the space behind the fullbacks for Paraguay to attack on the break.

Note of caution: U0.5 at -107 is almost exactly coin-flip pricing, meaning the market is split. Paraguay kept back-to-back clean sheets in games 2-3, though those opponents weren't comparable to Germany's quality. This is best used as a companion to BTTS Yes +108 rather than a standalone play.

Germany scored first in two of three group games and Paraguay's only goal of the entire group stage came in the 74th minute against Turkey. Paraguay are structurally not built to score early — their counter-attack requires Germany to be in possession first. Germany's press from the first whistle almost guarantees they open the scoring.

FanDuel confirms Wirtz "To Score or Assist Including Extra Time" as one of their featured props for this match. Wirtz leads Germany's tournament assists chart with four — he is involved in a Germany goal more often than any other player. The score-or-assist market captures both his goal and assist routes, making it considerably more likely to land than his standalone anytime goal price.

Julio Enciso can be backed to have a minimum of one shot on goal at +114. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick. Enciso is Paraguay's most naturally direct forward — his ability to shoot from range means even when Paraguay have limited possession, he tends to attempt shots from distance.

With Gómez suspended, Enciso now takes set pieces for Paraguay — corners and free kicks. Every direct free kick is a potential shot on target attempt. Combined with his instinct to shoot from range in transition, he is likely to register at least one SOT across 90 minutes even in a game Paraguay lose comfortably. At +114 this is genuinely attractive value.