French Open Women's Championship Odds: Can Anyone Dethrone Iga Swiatek?

The tennis clay season concludes with the French Open -- otherwise known as Roland-Garros -- bringing us the second Grand Slam of 2024. The French Open main draw will begin play on Sunday, May 26th, and Grand Slams Betting Odds are already up on FanDuel Sportsbook.

How do the odds shake out for this year's field? Let's take a look at how the top contenders stack up on the women's side.

Women's Singles Championship Odds

Iga Swiatek (-160)

Iga Swiatek is the clear French Open favorite, but it's still incredible to see her getting 61.5% implied odds to win a two-week tournament. She's won three of the last four French Opens and owns a ridiculous 28-2 career record at the event.

Swiatek is 14-1 on clay courts this season -- her lone loss came against Elena Rybakina in April -- and she comes in having won back-to-back tournaments in Madrid and Rome. Per Tennis Abstract, Iga now owns an 88.5% career clay win percentage.

It's not like Swiatek's success has been solely on this surface in 2024, either, as the world No. 1 boasts a 38-4 overall record, which included picking up a title at the prestigious Indian Wells. Really, outside of a disappointing third-round exit at the Australian Open, it's hard to poke many holes in her campaign.

Given her dominant run on clay entering Roland-Garros, it wouldn't be the least bit shocking if she raises the trophy yet again.

Aryna Sabalenka (+500)

Aryna Sabalenka comes into the tournament in great form, as well, after making two straight clay finals across Madrid and Rome. The only problem is she lost both of them to the aforementioned Swiatek. Those losses leave Sabalenka with just a 3-8 head-to-head record against her rival, which includes going 1-5 in their clay matches.

If there's any optimism for Aryna, it's that she came ever so close to defeating Iga in Madrid, a three-set battle that went three hours and 11 minutes and saw Swiatek save three match points to win 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 (7). Sabalenka's only clay win over Swiatek came just last year in 2023 Madrid, too.

Sabalenka's consistency in Grand Slams can't be questioned, either. She's made at least the semifinals in six straight majors (eight semifinals overall) and won the last two Australian Opens.

The odds will be against her if she runs into Swiatek at the end, but she's deserving of being the next-best favorite.

Coco Gauff (+800)

If you thought Swiatek had a dominant head-to-head over Sabalenka, then avert your eyes when it comes to Coco Gauff. The young American is 1-10 against Iga, most recently losing to her 6-4, 6-3 in the Rome semifinals this month. On the bright side, Gauff's one win against her did come in 2023 last summer in Cincinnati, albeit on hard courts.

At just 20 years old, Gauff's rise up the ranks is still a fairly recent development. She cracked the top 10 for the first time late in 2022, but she didn't truly hit her stride until last summer, coinciding with her team bringing in former player Brad Gilbert as a coach. She would go on to win both her first WTA 1000 (2023 Cincinnati) and Grand Slam (2023 US Open), leading to her cracking the top 3 for the first time last September.

This season, Coco reached the semifinals at the Australian Open, further suggesting that she's now ready to more consistently make deep runs at the majors.

She also has a strong history at Roland-Garros, advancing to at least the quarterfinals in three straight years and making the finals in 2022. Her poor head-to-head against Swiatek is a concern, but it's unlikely we've seen the best of Gauff yet, and there's little question that she has the potential to win more major titles.

Elena Rybakina (+950)

The emergence of Gauff has led some to believe women's tennis now has a "Big Four," but prior to that, the established new "Big Three" were Swiatek, Salabalenka, and 2022 Wimbledon champion Elena Rybakina.

What makes Rybakina particularly intriguing is that she not only beat Swiatek on clay earlier this year, but she also owns a 4-2 record in their head-to-head. Given how little success most players have against Swiatek, this should immediately draw our attention to Rybakina at +950 odds.

However, the reason her odds aren't shorter is a lack of consistent results at majors. In addition to that Wimbledon title, Elena has made just one other Grand Slam final (2023 Australian Open), and she's otherwise made the quarterfinals two other times. One of those quarterfinal appearances came at the 2021 French Open, but she's since been bounced in the third round in the last two editions.

Still, Rybakina is in the midst of a strong 2024 campaign, logging a 30-6 record while picking up titles in Brisbane, Abu Dhabi, and Stuttgart while also finishing runner-up in Doha and Miami. We could have an exciting match on our hands if she ends up facing Swiatek in Paris.

Other Notables

Danielle Collins (+2300) - Outside of that top four, Collins has to be the most intriguing dark horse candidate after winning 20 of her last 22 matches (both losses came against Sabalenka). If she continues to perform well in Strasbourg this week, she could be poised for a deep run. However, outside of a French Open quarterfinals appearance in 2020, she hasn't had much success in Paris, and both Swiatek and Sabalenka have dominant head-to-head records against her.

Ons Jabeur (+2800) - Jabeur is 0-3 in Grand Slam finals, and she seemingly still hasn't recovered from last year's crushing loss in the Wimbledon final. Jabeur is just 6-9 in 2024 and most recently bowed out in her opening match in Rome. She achieved her best French Open result last season (quarterfinals), but her current form makes it unlikely she matches or exceeds that this time around.

Qinwen Zheng (+3300) - Zheng was a finalist at the 2024 Australian Open and a quarterfinalist at the 2023 US Open. However, the 21-year-old has had an up-and-down campaign since that run in Australia (16-9 record in 2024) and has advanced to just the fourth and second round in her two French Opens.

Jelena Ostapenko (+3800) - Ostapenko was the surprise unseeded winner of the 2017 French Open at just 20 years old, but she's failed to get past the third round ever since. She's back in the top 10, though, and is the rare player who can say Swiatek has never beaten her (4-0 head-to-head).

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