NBA

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Tuesday 5/14/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Tuesday 5/14/24

Since NBA DFS is easier to predict than baseball or football, it would likely get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Basketball players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right? Trust me -- it's not!

As a result, NBA daily fantasy is highly reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to ensure that you're up to date with key injuries. Our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- update throughout the day to reflect current news. You can also turn to numberFire for player news updates as well as a matchup heat map and lineup optimizer to help give you an edge.

On top of all that, here at FanDuel Research, we'll come at you each day with this NBA DFS primer, which breaks down some of the day's top plays at each position.

Let's dive into today's main slate on FanDuel.

Betting lines via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Projections and betting odds may change after this article is published.

NBA DFS Picks

Tuesday's main slate on FanDuel features two games. For a full breakdown, see numberFire's matchup heat map.

Guards

Top Plays

Tyrese Haliburton ($9,500) -- I don't love that Tyrese Haliburton has three different ailments listed on the injury report, but that's hardly slowed him down of late. He cooked up 61.7 and 57.3 FanDuel points (FPs) in Games 2 and 3 before notching 34.7 across 27 minutes in Game 4. He's shooting 46% on 12.3 three-point attempts per game over that span. Haliburton's arrow is firmly pointed up.

Donte DiVincenzo ($7,800) -- Donte DiVincenzo was averaging 29.3 actual and 41.3 FanDuel points before New York's Game 4 implosion, so I'll happily turn to him at this mid-range salary. He'd attempted 21 field goal attempts across 44 minutes per game over the first three games of the series and should maintain a sky-high usage rate for the banged-up Knicks.

TJ McConnell ($5,600) -- T.J. McConnell's salary is up substantially from the start of the series, but the increase is well-deserved. He's exceeded 30 FPs in three of four games thus far, yet McConnell's still averaging just 21.3 minutes a night. Still, that could creep up with Haliburton banged up, and he's proven capable of producing even in a limited role.

Others to Consider

Jalen Brunson ($10,100) -- Jalen Brunson is clearly hobbled right now -- though I don't think we have to fade him despite a pair of sub-35 FP outings in Indiana. He was afforded a bit more rest in the Game 4 blowout and now returns home to Madison Square Garden. The injury is worrisome, but there's no denying Brunson's ceiling.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4,500) -- SG is an absolute wasteland tonight, so I'm fine deploying Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. There's not much of a ceiling here, but KCP is averaging 34.9 minutes per game this postseason and he's shooting 45% from three at home on the year. He has +105 odds for 2+ made threes on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Wings

Top Plays

Anthony Edwards ($10,300) -- Anthony Edwards isn't as consistent as you'd like from someone with a five-figure salary, but the upside is hard to ignore. ANT's exceeded 60 FPs in three of his last five games, including two in this series. He went for 40 real-world points in all three of those and is averaging 32.1 for the postseason. Edwards' points prop is set at 30.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook with +100 odds toward the over.

Michael Porter ($6,200) -- Michael Porter Jr. has only exceeded 30 FPs once this series, and that was back in Game 1. Still, he's gone for 20 real-world points twice in four games, and he's gotten unlucky on the glass. This is the same player who averaged 22.8 points and 8.4 rebounds in the first-round, so I like his chances of bouncing back at a discounted salary tonight. His points + rebounds prop is one of today's top player props.

Aaron Nesmith ($4,900) -- Aaron Nesmith is Indiana's version of KCP. He doesn't have a ton of upside but sees a healthy dose of minutes and carries a sub-$5K salary. That said, Nesmith has been trending up with three 20-FP outings in four games this series. He's a low-salary way to get a piece of Indiana's explosive offense.

Others to Consider

Josh Hart ($8,700) -- Josh Hart is coming off his worst game of the postseason, but I like him as a strong bounce-back candidate. We aren't getting any kind of salary discount here, but Hart's averaging 47.7 FPPG at home in the playoffs.

Jaden McDaniels ($4,200) -- Denver has held Jaden McDaniels to 18.3 FPPG this series. That's less than ideal, but he's still playing 31.3 minutes per game, so there's at least a floor here. That's about as much as you can ask for at $4.2K.

Bigs

Top Plays

Nikola Jokic ($12,100) -- After disappointing (by his standards) in the first two games, Nikola Jokic exploded for 69.3 and 61.9 FPs in Games 3 and 4. He's been held under 55 FPs just once this postseason, so there's no one with a safer floor than Jokic. Even with the high salary, I'm doing everything I can to fit him in my lineup. We project Jokic for 61.5 FPs, easily the most on the slate.

Pascal Siakam ($7,700) -- Since popping off in Games 1 and 2 of the first-round, Pascal Siakam has averaged a measly 33.1 FPPG. He has exceeded 30 FPs in three of four games this series, but New York has only let him score 20 real-world points once. Still, with no OG Anunoby defending him, Siakam still matches up well with the Knicks. We know the upside is there.

Isaiah Hartenstein ($5,900) -- Isaiah Hartenstein figures to be heavily rostered tonight thanks to his dual-position eligibility and friendly salary. Hartenstein only managed 8.0 FPs across 21 minutes last time out, but he averaged 38 minutes and 30.9 FPPG in Games 1-3. With a 32.1-FP projection, Hartenstein is the top point-per-dollar value on the slate (5.44 FPs per $1,000).

Others to Consider

Myles Turner ($7,100) -- My only gripe with Myles Turner is that I can't roster him with Jokic. But for non-Jokic lineups, he's easily my favorite C tonight. Turner has exceeded 30 FPs in three of four games this series, notching 20 real-world points twice. His points prop is set at 16.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook -- a total he's gone over in six of 10 playoff games.

Obi Toppin ($4,400) -- Obi Toppin bounced back after a dud in Game 3, notching his seventh 20-FP game in his last nine outings. His minutes leave something to be desired, but Toppin's proven to be a reliable salary-saver off the Indiana bench. He's cracked double-digit points in 8 of 10 playoff games.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.