Euro 2024 Golden Boot Odds: Where Do Things Stand Entering the Quarterfinals?

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Golden Boot Odds: Where Do Things Stand Entering the Quarterfinals?

Euro 2024 is down to the last eight, and with no games until Friday, it's a great window to take a look at FanDuel Sportsbook's Euro 2024 Golden Boot odds.

Where do things stand right now, and which players make for good bets prior to Friday's quarterfinal matchups? Let's dig in.

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Golden Boot Odds

Euro 2024 Golden Boot
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Cody Gakpo (Netherlands)+3803
Jamal Musiala (Germany)+6003
Harry Kane (England)+6002
Kylian Mbappe (France)+11001
Kai Havertz (Germany)+12002
Jude Bellingham (England)+16002
Georges Mikautadze* (Georgia)+21003
View Full Table

Cody Gakpo, Netherlands (+400)

Gakpo checks all the boxes right now. He's tied for the tournament lead with three goals, and what separates him from the others who have three goals is that the Netherlands are the biggest favorite of the quarterfinals, listed at -375 odds to advance to the Euro 2024 semifinals in their match with Turkey.

Gakpo's three goals have come from 11 shots, 7 of which have been on target. He's been active, efficient and a focal point for Holland's attack. He also has one assist, and that is important as assists is the first tiebreaker in the Golden Boot race.

He has an excellent chance to play at least two more games and can add to his tally versus Turkey this weekend. Turkey have permitted at least 1.4 expected goals (xG) in every game they've played, per FBRef's xG model.

The lone negative with Gakpo is that he may not be the first-choice penalty taker for the Dutch. With that said, they haven't taken a spot kick yet this tournament, so we don't know who has the job. I am guessing it is either Gakpo or Memphis Depay. They took one apiece in Euro qualifying.

Harry Kane, England (+600)

After Gakpo, I think Kane makes the most sense.

England's No. 9 has been quiet this tournament, getting bogged down by a dysfunctional England attack around him. Despite that, Kane still has two goals and will almost surely take any penalties the Three Lions are awarded.

While England have been extremely bland going forward and are lucky to still be in the tournament, they have a lot of talent and are on the easier side of the bracket. They're the second-biggest favorite in the quarters, listed at -175 odds to advance past Switzerland, and they're actually the tourney co-favorites, tied with Spain at +390 odds to win Euro 2024. In the name the Euro 2024 finalists market, the three final matchups with the shortest odds all involve England.

Kane is a proven goal-scoring machine, bagging 36 goals in 32 Bundesliga starts last season for Bayern Munich, and he has a good chance to play at least two more games, possibly three (there's no third-place match). If England get to the final, it means the Netherlands -- and Gakpo -- don't, giving Kane a great opportunity to catch up in the Golden Boot race.

Memphis Depay, Netherlands (+2900)

I'm sticking with the easier side of the bracket and turning to another Netherlands player. I mentioned Depay earlier when talking about Gakpo. As I said in that section, there's a chance Depay is the team's penalty taker, and that's obviously a big deal for this market.

A lot of what I said for Gakpo also applies to Depay: he suits up for the biggest favorite of the quarterfinals and has a really good chance to play at least two more games. The big difference between Gakpo and Depay -- and the reason their odds are drastically different -- is that Depay has only one goal thus far.

I think he's capable of making up the ground and contending for the Golden Boot. Depay leads the Dutch in shots (13) but has been able to get just 2 of those shots on target. He's amassed 1.5 xG, tops among the team's starters. He's also taken both of the Netherlands' free kicks.

All in all, Depay is just as much of a key cog in the Dutch attack as Gakpo is, and while the two-goal deficit is a lot to make up, especially in the knockout rounds, where no one is guaranteed more than one game, I think Depay is due for a big day. It may come this weekend versus Turkey's suspect defense.

And if you think Holland make it out of their side of the bracket and get three more matches, Depay's +2900 odds are very enticing.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.