Soccer

Euro 2024 Betting Picks and Prop Bets for Friday 6/21/24

Nicholas Vazquez
Nicholas Vazquez@nickvaz
Euro 2024 Betting Picks and Prop Bets for Friday 6/21/24

The 2024 UEFA European Football Championship -- also known as Euro 2024 -- is here, and it should be a fun tournament.

FanDuel Sportsbook's Euro 2024 odds offer a variety of ways to get in on the action, including betting lines for each match.

Let's take a look at the best bets for Friday's matches.

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Betting Picks

Poland vs. Austria (12 PM ET)

Poland Moneyline (+240)

Poland and Austria both suffered defeats by one goal in their respective opening matches and now will likely need a win to have a chance of qualifying for the next round.

They each suffered a narrow loss against good teams. There are a few things pointing in the direction of betting on Poland at this price, though.

In their first game, Poland went ahead against the Netherlands but couldn't hold onto even a draw in the end. The underlying data shows that Poland were competitive in the match, as they lost the expected goals (xG) battle oinly 1.4 to 1.3, according to FBRef.com.

Austria were not as competitive in their match, albeit against one of the best teams in the tournament. The xG in their match was 2.0 to 0.8, and that doesn't include the own goal that France scored.

This isn't the same Austria team that had success in qualifying. They are without their captain and best player, David Alaba. Meanwhile, Poland will be getting their best player back.

Robert Lewandowski was seen training fully ahead of this match, so that should mean he is ready to go. He obviously is a key player for Poland and is still one of the best strikers in the tournament.

These teams seem a bit closer than these odds suggest, so I don't mind taking a chance on Poland at +240.

Netherlands vs. France (3 PM ET)

France Moneyline (+120)

After Spain and Italy played each other on Thursday, we are getting another meeting between two heavy hitters on Friday.

The big storyline heading into this game is the status of Kylian Mbappe. He suffered a broken nose in France's opening match and is a question mark for this game. It does appear like he will try to play, and it seems like that is not baked into these odds.

France is still loaded with good players -- enough to still win even without Mbappe. It was noticeable the difference N'Golo Kante made in his first appearance for the national team in two years. They have talented forwards, including Randal Kolo Muani, who could be the replacement if Mbappe can't go.

The Netherlands weren't terribly impressive in their first game against Poland. They had a lot of the ball -- 66% possession -- but turned that into just four shots on target. They have talented midfielders, but France is one of the few teams that can match them in that regard.

France beat the Netherlands twice during qualifying, including a 4-0 win at home. They have more talent on their team even without Mbappe and have a better manager with loads of tournament experience.

It's tempting to back France whenever they are worse than even money, so that's what we will do in this spot.

Prop Bets

Mykhailo Mudryk to Have 3 or More Shots (-105): The one game we haven't touched yet is Slovakia vs. Ukraine. Ukraine lost their opening match 3-0 but has a chance to bounce back here.

They'll face Slovakia, who rode their luck to a win in their first game. They allowed 1.6 xG in their match against Belgium but won 1-0.

Ukraine's best player is Mykhailo Mudryk, and I like him to be relied upon here. He had three shots in their first game, a loss to Romania. Slovakia allowed 16 shots to Belgium, and while Ukraine are a worse attacking side, they should be able to produce some attacks here.

Robert Lewandowski to Score (+175): As mentioned, Lewandowski is likely to return in this game, and we're getting a great price on him scoring.

Lewandowski has a good goal scoring record for Poland, with 82 goals in 150 appearances. He will take any penalty they get, so he will have that opportunity to score if presented with a spot kick.

Austria is without their best defender for the tournament, and they allowed France a lot of opportunities to score in their first match. Even though Poland aren't nearly as good as France, they can capitalize on this and get Lewandowski on the score sheet.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.